Primera A — Colombia
Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 21:10 • Estadio Municipal de Cota
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.41 (league 1.11) 1.06 (league 0.79)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.7% 26.7% 28.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.6%
1 - 0
12.0%
0 - 1
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Junior
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fortaleza FC 0 8.5% 9.0% 4.7% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 12.0% 12.6% 6.7% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.4% 8.9% 4.7% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.0% 4.2% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFortaleza FCJunior
Played55
Form67%40%
Attack31%38%
Defense81%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fortaleza FC Junior
HATHAT
Played191938222244
Wins58%16%37%55%32%43%
Draws26%37%32%23%32%27%
Loses16%47%32%23%36%30%

Form: Fortaleza FC: DLWWLLLDDDLLLWWDLWLLWWDDDDDWDWWLWDWLWW • Junior: DDDWWLDWWWWWDDWLDLWWDLLLLLWWWDWDWLWLDDWLWWLL

League goals

Metric Fortaleza FC Junior
HATHAT
GF total231639342660
GF avg1.20.81.01.51.21.4
GA total142741182947
GA avg0.71.41.10.81.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFortaleza FCJunior
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%58%75%66%
1.529%32%43%34%
2.53%11%14%7%
3.53%5%5%0%
4.50%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFortaleza FCJunior
HATHAT
Clean sheets115168715
Failed to score57125611

Penalties

MetricFortaleza FCJunior
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%10 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total610

Streaks

MetricFortaleza FCJunior
Wins25
Draws53
Losses35

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-24-00-2
Biggest losses1-54-01-23-0
Goals For4243
Goals Against5423

Model comparison

MetricFortaleza FCJunior
Form63%38%
Att45%55%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h40%60%
Goals50%50%
Total54.3%45.8%

Advice: Double chance : Fortaleza FC or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.32 @ Unibet
Draw3.10 @ 10Bet
Away3.64 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.43 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.57 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.02 @ Pinnacle
No1.81 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Fortaleza FC = 1.41 (league 1.11), Junior = 1.06 (league 0.79)

Junior
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fortaleza FC 0 8.5% 9.0% 4.7% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 12.0% 12.6% 6.7% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.4% 8.9% 4.7% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.0% 4.2% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.7% · Draw 26.7% · Away win 28.1%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1