Primera A — Colombia
Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 01:20 • Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.03 (league 1.11) 1.14 (league 0.79)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.3% 21.2% 20.6%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.9%
1 - 1
9.7%
2 - 0
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
Llaneros
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportes Tolima 0 4.2% 4.8% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 8.5% 9.7% 5.5% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.7% 9.9% 5.6% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 5.9% 6.7% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 3.0% 3.4% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.2% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDeportes TolimaLlaneros
Played55
Form80%47%
Attack57%36%
Defense79%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Deportes Tolima Llaneros
HATHAT
Played222244191938
Wins55%45%50%42%26%34%
Draws23%23%23%16%16%16%
Loses23%32%27%42%58%50%

Form: Deportes Tolima: WDWDDLWDLWWWDLWDWWWLDLDWLWLLWWDWWWDLWLLWLWWW • Llaneros: LWDDLLWLLLLWWLLLWLLWDDWWWLLWLWDLLDWWLL

League goals

Metric Deportes Tolima Llaneros
HATHAT
GF total342963171936
GF avg1.51.31.40.91.00.9
GA total192342182947
GA avg0.91.01.00.91.51.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDeportes TolimaLlaneros
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%59%53%74%
1.541%23%34%29%
2.518%11%8%16%
3.55%2%0%5%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDeportes TolimaLlaneros
HATHAT
Clean sheets99186410
Failed to score4599918

Penalties

MetricDeportes TolimaLlaneros
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricDeportes TolimaLlaneros
Wins33
Draws22
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-42-00-3
Biggest losses1-33-10-34-0
Goals For4423
Goals Against3434

Model comparison

MetricDeportes TolimaLlaneros
Form63%37%
Att62%38%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h67%33%
Goals67%33%
Total65.5%34.5%

Advice: Double chance : Deportes Tolima or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.75 @ William Hill
Draw3.95 @ 188Bet
Away5.40 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.81 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.11 @ 188Bet
No1.77 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Deportes Tolima = 2.03 (league 1.11), Llaneros = 1.14 (league 0.79)

Llaneros
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportes Tolima 0 4.2% 4.8% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 8.5% 9.7% 5.5% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.7% 9.9% 5.6% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 5.9% 6.7% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 3.0% 3.4% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.2% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.3% · Draw 21.2% · Away win 20.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1