Fri, Sep 19 2025 • 18:00 • Soeverein Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.19 (league 1.37) 0.36 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
77.4% 15.3% 4.8%
best score tips
2 - 0
18.7%
1 - 0
17.0%
3 - 0
13.7%
Score & goals probability table
KRC Genk II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lommel United 0 7.8% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 17.0% 6.2% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.7% 6.8% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.7% 4.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.5% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLommel UnitedKRC Genk II
Played54
Form73%33%
Attack58%16%
Defense79%74%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.23 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lommel United KRC Genk II
HATHAT
Played235224
Wins100%33%60%0%50%25%
Draws0%67%40%50%0%25%
Loses0%0%0%50%50%50%

Form: Lommel United: DWDWW • KRC Genk II: LDWL

League goals

Metric Lommel United KRC Genk II
HATHAT
GF total6511123
GF avg3.01.72.20.51.00.8
GA total134325
GA avg0.51.00.81.51.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLommel UnitedKRC Genk II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%40%50%75%
1.580%20%25%25%
2.560%20%0%25%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLommel UnitedKRC Genk II
HATHAT
Clean sheets123101
Failed to score011112

Penalties

MetricLommel UnitedKRC Genk II
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricLommel UnitedKRC Genk II
Wins11
Draws11
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-21-2
Biggest losses1-31-0
Goals For3312
Goals Against1331

Model comparison

MetricLommel UnitedKRC Genk II
Form73%27%
Att79%21%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution87%13%
H2h71%29%
Goals71%29%
Total72.8%27.2%

Advice: Winner : Lommel United

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.64 @ Dafabet
Draw4.37 @ Pinnacle
Away5.33 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.55 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.61 @ 188Bet
No2.35 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lommel United = 2.19 (league 1.37), KRC Genk II = 0.36 (league 1.38)

KRC Genk II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lommel United 0 7.8% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 17.0% 6.2% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.7% 6.8% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.7% 4.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.5% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 77.4% · Draw 15.3% · Away win 4.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1