Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 14:00 • Soevereinstadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.18 (league 1.37) 0.72 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.5% 30.7% 22.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.6%
0 - 0
14.9%
1 - 1
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
Liège
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lommel United 0 14.9% 10.8% 3.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.6% 12.7% 4.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.3% 7.5% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.1% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLommel UnitedLiège
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack57%36%
Defense79%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lommel United Liège
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins67%50%57%25%67%43%
Draws0%50%29%25%0%14%
Loses33%0%14%50%33%43%

Form: Lommel United: DWDWWLW • Liège: LWWLWDL

League goals

Metric Lommel United Liège
HATHAT
GF total7714437
GF avg2.31.82.01.01.01.0
GA total336527
GA avg1.00.80.91.30.71.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLommel UnitedLiège
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%43%71%57%
1.571%29%29%43%
2.543%14%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLommel UnitedLiège
HATHAT
Clean sheets134123
Failed to score011112

Penalties

MetricLommel UnitedLiège
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricLommel UnitedLiège
Wins22
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-22-00-2
Biggest losses1-20-22-0
Goals For3322
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricLommel UnitedLiège
Form59%41%
Att62%38%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h36%64%
Goals50%50%
Total55.7%44.5%

Advice: Double chance : Lommel United or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.06 @ 1xBet
Draw3.75 @ Bet365
Away3.65 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.79 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.12 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.21 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lommel United = 1.18 (league 1.37), Liège = 0.72 (league 1.38)

Liège
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lommel United 0 14.9% 10.8% 3.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.6% 12.7% 4.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.3% 7.5% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.1% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.5% · Draw 30.7% · Away win 22.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1