Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 14:00 • Stade de Rocourt
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.71 (league 1.42) 1.24 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.1% 29.8% 48.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
17.7%
0 - 0
14.2%
1 - 1
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
KRC Genk II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Liège 0 14.2% 17.7% 11.0% 4.5% 1.4% 0.4%
1 10.1% 12.5% 7.8% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2%
2 3.6% 4.4% 2.7% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.8% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLiègeKRC Genk II
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack29%35%
Defense71%35%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 111 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Liège KRC Genk II
HATHAT
Played448437
Wins25%75%50%0%67%29%
Draws25%0%13%25%0%14%
Loses50%25%38%75%33%57%

Form: Liège: LWWLWDLW • KRC Genk II: LDWLWLL

League goals

Metric Liège KRC Genk II
HATHAT
GF total448246
GF avg1.01.01.00.51.30.9
GA total5279312
GA avg1.30.50.92.31.01.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLiègeKRC Genk II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%50%57%86%
1.525%38%29%43%
2.50%0%0%29%
3.50%0%0%14%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLiègeKRC Genk II
HATHAT
Clean sheets134101
Failed to score112213

Penalties

MetricLiègeKRC Genk II
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricLiègeKRC Genk II
Wins21
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-21-2
Biggest losses0-22-01-41-0
Goals For2212
Goals Against2241

Model comparison

MetricLiègeKRC Genk II
Form54%46%
Att45%55%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h75%25%
Goals63%37%
Total58.0%42.0%

Advice: Double chance : Liège or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.58 @ Unibet
Draw4.71 @ Pinnacle
Away5.32 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.57 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.35 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Liège = 0.71 (league 1.42), KRC Genk II = 1.24 (league 1.36)

KRC Genk II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Liège 0 14.2% 17.7% 11.0% 4.5% 1.4% 0.4%
1 10.1% 12.5% 7.8% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2%
2 3.6% 4.4% 2.7% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.8% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.1% · Draw 29.8% · Away win 48.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1