Fri, Oct 3 2025 • 18:00 • Stade du Pairay
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.76 (league 1.37) 2.22 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
11.4% 18.1% 68.0%
best score tips
0 - 2
12.5%
0 - 1
11.3%
1 - 2
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Lommel United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Seraing United 0 5.1% 11.3% 12.5% 9.2% 5.1% 2.3%
1 3.9% 8.6% 9.5% 7.0% 3.9% 1.7%
2 1.5% 3.3% 3.6% 2.7% 1.5% 0.7%
3 0.4% 0.8% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSeraing UnitedLommel United
Played55
Form27%60%
Attack57%100%
Defense0%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Seraing United Lommel United
HATHAT
Played358448
Wins33%0%13%50%50%50%
Draws0%40%25%0%50%25%
Loses67%60%63%50%0%25%

Form: Seraing United: LLDWLLDL • Lommel United: DWDWWLWL

League goals

Metric Seraing United Lommel United
HATHAT
GF total4157714
GF avg1.30.20.61.81.81.8
GA total5914437
GA avg1.71.81.81.00.80.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSeraing UnitedLommel United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.538%75%75%50%
1.513%63%63%25%
2.513%13%38%13%
3.50%13%0%0%
4.50%13%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSeraing UnitedLommel United
HATHAT
Clean sheets022134
Failed to score145112

Penalties

MetricSeraing UnitedLommel United
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricSeraing UnitedLommel United
Wins12
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-13-00-2
Biggest losses0-25-01-2
Goals For3133
Goals Against2523

Model comparison

MetricSeraing UnitedLommel United
Form31%69%
Att33%67%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution29%71%
H2h50%50%
Goals53%47%
Total37.5%62.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Lommel United

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.65 @ Marathonbet
Draw4.29 @ Pinnacle
Away1.71 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.72 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.30 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.72 @ 188Bet
No2.24 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Seraing United = 0.76 (league 1.37), Lommel United = 2.22 (league 1.38)

Lommel United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Seraing United 0 5.1% 11.3% 12.5% 9.2% 5.1% 2.3%
1 3.9% 8.6% 9.5% 7.0% 3.9% 1.7%
2 1.5% 3.3% 3.6% 2.7% 1.5% 0.7%
3 0.4% 0.8% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.4% · Draw 18.1% · Away win 68.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1