Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 14:00 • Herman Vanderpoortenstadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.48 (league 1.37) 0.72 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.4% 41.4% 37.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
30.1%
0 - 1
21.8%
1 - 0
14.3%
Score & goals probability table
Liège
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lierse Kempenzonen 0 30.1% 21.8% 7.9% 1.9% 0.3% 0.1%
1 14.3% 10.4% 3.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 3.4% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLierse KempenzonenLiège
Played55
Form33%67%
Attack16%53%
Defense79%84%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.610 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

50%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lierse Kempenzonen Liège
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins50%0%22%40%75%56%
Draws25%20%22%20%0%11%
Loses25%80%56%40%25%33%

Form: Lierse Kempenzonen: LLWLLWDDL • Liège: LWWLWDLWW

League goals

Metric Lierse Kempenzonen Liège
HATHAT
GF total5169413
GF avg1.30.20.71.81.01.4
GA total4610527
GA avg1.01.21.11.00.50.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLierse KempenzonenLiège
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.533%67%78%44%
1.522%44%33%33%
2.511%0%11%0%
3.50%0%11%0%
4.50%0%11%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLierse KempenzonenLiège
HATHAT
Clean sheets213235
Failed to score246112

Penalties

MetricLierse KempenzonenLiège
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricLierse KempenzonenLiège
Wins12
Draws21
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-05-00-2
Biggest losses0-22-00-22-0
Goals For3152
Goals Against2222

Model comparison

MetricLierse KempenzonenLiège
Form33%67%
Att23%77%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h60%40%
Goals56%44%
Total42.7%57.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Liège and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.70 @ Unibet
Draw3.75 @ Bet365
Away2.51 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.03 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ Pinnacle
No2.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lierse Kempenzonen = 0.48 (league 1.37), Liège = 0.72 (league 1.38)

Liège
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lierse Kempenzonen 0 30.1% 21.8% 7.9% 1.9% 0.3% 0.1%
1 14.3% 10.4% 3.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 3.4% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.4% · Draw 41.4% · Away win 37.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1