Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 18:00 • Stade de Rocourt
Match Finished
4 - 3
Expected Goals
1.68 (league 1.39) 1.31 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.4% 23.9% 29.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.1%
2 - 1
9.3%
1 - 0
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
RWDM
0 1 2 3 4 5
Liège 0 5.0% 6.6% 4.3% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
1 8.4% 11.1% 7.2% 3.2% 1.0% 0.3%
2 7.1% 9.3% 6.1% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
3 4.0% 5.2% 3.4% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.7% 2.2% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLiègeRWDM
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack67%53%
Defense73%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Liège RWDM
HATHAT
Played5510549
Wins40%80%60%40%50%44%
Draws20%0%10%20%25%22%
Loses40%20%30%40%25%33%

Form: Liège: LWWLWDLWWW • RWDM: DWLWLLWDW

League goals

Metric Liège RWDM
HATHAT
GF total961512719
GF avg1.81.21.52.41.82.1
GA total5388513
GA avg1.00.60.81.61.31.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLiègeRWDM
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%50%78%78%
1.540%30%67%56%
2.510%0%44%11%
3.510%0%11%0%
4.510%0%11%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLiègeRWDM
HATHAT
Clean sheets235112
Failed to score112112

Penalties

MetricLiègeRWDM
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricLiègeRWDM
Wins21
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-25-01-3
Biggest losses0-22-00-22-0
Goals For5253
Goals Against2232

Model comparison

MetricLiègeRWDM
Form59%41%
Att56%44%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h64%36%
Goals55%45%
Total59.5%40.5%

Advice: Double chance : Liège or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.05 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ Unibet
Away2.50 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.06 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.65 @ 188Bet
No2.37 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Liège = 1.68 (league 1.39), RWDM = 1.31 (league 1.37)

RWDM
0 1 2 3 4 5
Liège 0 5.0% 6.6% 4.3% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
1 8.4% 11.1% 7.2% 3.2% 1.0% 0.3%
2 7.1% 9.3% 6.1% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
3 4.0% 5.2% 3.4% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.7% 2.2% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.4% · Draw 23.9% · Away win 29.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1