Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 19:00 • Guldensporen Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.49 (league 1.40) 1.18 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.9% 25.6% 29.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.2%
1 - 0
10.3%
2 - 1
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
Lommel United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kortrijk 0 6.9% 8.2% 4.8% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
1 10.3% 12.2% 7.2% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.7% 9.1% 5.3% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 3.8% 4.5% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.4% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKortrijkLommel United
Played55
Form80%40%
Attack100%100%
Defense25%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.812 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.212 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kortrijk Lommel United
HATHAT
Played66126713
Wins67%100%83%33%43%38%
Draws17%0%8%17%57%38%
Loses17%0%8%50%0%23%

Form: Kortrijk: WWWWWDWWLWWW • Lommel United: DWDWWLWLWDLDD

League goals

Metric Kortrijk Lommel United
HATHAT
GF total81624101626
GF avg1.32.72.01.72.32.0
GA total461081119
GA avg0.71.00.81.31.61.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKortrijkLommel United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%58%85%69%
1.567%17%69%54%
2.533%8%38%15%
3.50%0%8%8%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKortrijkLommel United
HATHAT
Clean sheets415134
Failed to score000112

Penalties

MetricKortrijkLommel United
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricKortrijkLommel United
Wins52
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-33-00-2
Biggest losses1-3—1-2—
Goals For2334
Goals Against3224

Model comparison

MetricKortrijkLommel United
Form67%33%
Att43%57%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h100%0%
Goals73%27%
Total62.0%38.0%

Advice: Double chance : Kortrijk or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.75 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.95 @ 188Bet
Away4.60 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.65 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.26 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.64 @ Unibet
No2.30 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kortrijk = 1.49 (league 1.40), Lommel United = 1.18 (league 1.37)

Lommel United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kortrijk 0 6.9% 8.2% 4.8% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
1 10.3% 12.2% 7.2% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.7% 9.1% 5.3% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 3.8% 4.5% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.4% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.9% · Draw 25.6% · Away win 29.9%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1