Fri, Dec 12 2025 • 19:00 • Soevereinstadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.32 (league 1.42) 1.82 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.7% 22.9% 48.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.4%
1 - 2
9.5%
0 - 1
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
KAA Gent II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lommel United 0 4.3% 7.9% 7.2% 4.3% 2.0% 0.7%
1 5.7% 10.4% 9.5% 5.7% 2.6% 0.9%
2 3.8% 6.9% 6.2% 3.8% 1.7% 0.6%
3 1.7% 3.0% 2.8% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.6% 1.0% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLommel UnitedKAA Gent II
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack69%38%
Defense19%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lommel United KAA Gent II
HATHAT
Played69158715
Wins33%44%40%13%57%33%
Draws17%44%33%38%0%20%
Loses50%11%27%50%43%47%

Form: Lommel United: DWDWWLWLWDLDDLW • KAA Gent II: WLDLWDLWLLWWDLL

League goals

Metric Lommel United KAA Gent II
HATHAT
GF total10203061319
GF avg1.72.22.00.81.91.3
GA total8162411819
GA avg1.31.81.61.41.11.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLommel UnitedKAA Gent II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.587%73%60%67%
1.573%53%40%40%
2.533%20%13%20%
3.57%13%13%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLommel UnitedKAA Gent II
HATHAT
Clean sheets134235
Failed to score112426

Penalties

MetricLommel UnitedKAA Gent II
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricLommel UnitedKAA Gent II
Wins22
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-22-10-4
Biggest losses1-24-21-33-0
Goals For3424
Goals Against2433

Model comparison

MetricLommel UnitedKAA Gent II
Form42%58%
Att65%35%
Def32%68%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h100%0%
Goals67%33%
Total50.0%50.0%

Advice: Double chance : Lommel United or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.91 @ Betano
Draw4.01 @ Pinnacle
Away3.70 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.63 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.30 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ 188Bet
No2.40 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lommel United = 1.32 (league 1.42), KAA Gent II = 1.82 (league 1.36)

KAA Gent II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lommel United 0 4.3% 7.9% 7.2% 4.3% 2.0% 0.7%
1 5.7% 10.4% 9.5% 5.7% 2.6% 0.9%
2 3.8% 6.9% 6.2% 3.8% 1.7% 0.6%
3 1.7% 3.0% 2.8% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.6% 1.0% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.7% · Draw 22.9% · Away win 48.0%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1