Fri, Jan 16 2026 • 19:00 • Cegeka Arena
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.80 (league 1.42) 3.72 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
13.7% 12.7% 55.5%
best score tips
1 - 3
6.2%
1 - 4
5.7%
2 - 3
5.6%
Score & goals probability table
Lommel United
0 1 2 3 4 5
KRC Genk II 0 0.4% 1.5% 2.8% 3.4% 3.2% 2.4%
1 0.7% 2.7% 5.0% 6.2% 5.7% 4.3%
2 0.6% 2.4% 4.5% 5.6% 5.2% 3.9%
3 0.4% 1.5% 2.7% 3.3% 3.1% 2.3%
4 0.2% 0.7% 1.2% 1.5% 1.4% 1.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKRC Genk IILommel United
Played55
Form27%80%
Attack45%55%
Defense45%59%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 212 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

73%
FT probability

3.5+

52%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric KRC Genk II Lommel United
HATHAT
Played891781018
Wins25%22%24%50%50%50%
Draws13%33%24%13%40%28%
Loses63%44%53%38%10%22%

Form: KRC Genk II: LDWLWLLLWLDDLLWDL • Lommel United: DWDWWLWLWDLDDLWWWW

League goals

Metric KRC Genk II Lommel United
HATHAT
GF total12921162238
GF avg1.51.01.22.02.22.1
GA total181533111728
GA avg2.31.71.91.41.71.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKRC Genk IILommel United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%88%89%72%
1.535%59%78%50%
2.518%24%33%22%
3.50%18%11%11%
4.50%6%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKRC Genk IILommel United
HATHAT
Clean sheets112235
Failed to score235112

Penalties

MetricKRC Genk IILommel United
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricKRC Genk IILommel United
Wins12
Draws22
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-23-00-2
Biggest losses1-45-01-24-2
Goals For3244
Goals Against4534

Model comparison

MetricKRC Genk IILommel United
Form25%75%
Att45%55%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h50%50%
Goals33%67%
Total38.3%61.7%

Advice: Combo Winner : Lommel United and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.70 @ Unibet
Draw4.10 @ Unibet
Away1.82 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.53 @ Betano
Under 2.52.60 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.54 @ Unibet
No2.63 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): KRC Genk II = 1.80 (league 1.42), Lommel United = 3.72 (league 1.36)

Lommel United
0 1 2 3 4 5
KRC Genk II 0 0.4% 1.5% 2.8% 3.4% 3.2% 2.4%
1 0.7% 2.7% 5.0% 6.2% 5.7% 4.3%
2 0.6% 2.4% 4.5% 5.6% 5.2% 3.9%
3 0.4% 1.5% 2.7% 3.3% 3.1% 2.3%
4 0.2% 0.7% 1.2% 1.5% 1.4% 1.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.7% · Draw 12.7% · Away win 55.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1