Tue, Jan 27 2026 • 19:00 • Stade de Rocourt
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.92 (league 1.41) 1.95 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.3% 21.1% 38.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
7.8%
1 - 2
7.6%
2 - 1
7.5%
Score & goals probability table
Lommel United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Liège 0 2.1% 4.1% 4.0% 2.6% 1.3% 0.5%
1 4.0% 7.8% 7.6% 5.0% 2.4% 1.0%
2 3.8% 7.5% 7.3% 4.8% 2.3% 0.9%
3 2.4% 4.8% 4.7% 3.0% 1.5% 0.6%
4 1.2% 2.3% 2.2% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.4% 0.9% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLiègeLommel United
Played55
Form67%100%
Attack59%76%
Defense76%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 213 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Liège Lommel United
HATHAT
Played10102091120
Wins50%50%50%56%55%55%
Draws10%20%15%11%36%25%
Loses40%30%35%33%9%20%

Form: Liège: LWWLWDLWWWWDLLLWLWWD • Lommel United: DWDWWLWLWDLDDLWWWWWW

League goals

Metric Liège Lommel United
HATHAT
GF total181230192443
GF avg1.81.21.52.12.22.2
GA total121123131730
GA avg1.21.11.21.41.51.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLiègeLommel United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%65%90%70%
1.545%40%80%50%
2.520%10%35%20%
3.510%0%10%10%
4.55%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLiègeLommel United
HATHAT
Clean sheets347246
Failed to score336112

Penalties

MetricLiègeLommel United
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricLiègeLommel United
Wins42
Draws12
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-33-00-2
Biggest losses0-23-01-24-2
Goals For5344
Goals Against3334

Model comparison

MetricLiègeLommel United
Form40%60%
Att43%57%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h71%29%
Goals54%46%
Total53.2%46.8%

Advice: Double chance : Liège or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.88 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.63 @ Pinnacle
Away2.50 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.78 @ Betano
Under 2.52.10 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.65 @ Pinnacle
No2.25 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Liège = 1.92 (league 1.41), Lommel United = 1.95 (league 1.35)

Lommel United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Liège 0 2.1% 4.1% 4.0% 2.6% 1.3% 0.5%
1 4.0% 7.8% 7.6% 5.0% 2.4% 1.0%
2 3.8% 7.5% 7.3% 4.8% 2.3% 0.9%
3 2.4% 4.8% 4.7% 3.0% 1.5% 0.6%
4 1.2% 2.3% 2.2% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.4% 0.9% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.3% · Draw 21.1% · Away win 38.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1