Fri, Feb 6 2026 • 19:00 • Stade de Rocourt
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.53 (league 1.45) 0.65 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.1% 25.7% 15.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.4%
2 - 0
13.2%
0 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
K. Lierse S.K.
0 1 2 3 4 5
Liège 0 11.4% 7.4% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.4% 11.2% 3.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.2% 8.6% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.7% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.6% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLiègeK. Lierse S.K.
Played55
Form73%13%
Attack64%43%
Defense79%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Liège K. Lierse S.K.
HATHAT
Played111122101121
Wins55%45%50%40%18%29%
Draws9%27%18%30%27%29%
Loses36%27%32%30%55%43%

Form: Liège: LWWLWDLWWWWDLLLWLWWDWD • K. Lierse S.K.: LLWLLWDDLLDDWWWWDLLDL

League goals

Metric Liège K. Lierse S.K.
HATHAT
GF total19123114923
GF avg1.71.11.41.40.81.1
GA total121123131427
GA avg1.11.01.01.31.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLiègeK. Lierse S.K.
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%59%62%67%
1.541%36%29%43%
2.518%9%14%10%
3.59%0%5%10%
4.55%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLiègeK. Lierse S.K.
HATHAT
Clean sheets459437
Failed to score347358

Penalties

MetricLiègeK. Lierse S.K.
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricLiègeK. Lierse S.K.
Wins44
Draws12
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-32-00-1
Biggest losses0-23-00-22-0
Goals For5343
Goals Against3344

Model comparison

MetricLiègeK. Lierse S.K.
Form85%15%
Att60%40%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h40%60%
Goals45%55%
Total62.7%37.3%

Advice: Double chance : Liège or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.99 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.65 @ Pinnacle
Away3.63 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.74 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.12 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.66 @ Pinnacle
No2.23 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Liège = 1.53 (league 1.45), K. Lierse S.K. = 0.65 (league 1.36)

K. Lierse S.K.
0 1 2 3 4 5
Liège 0 11.4% 7.4% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.4% 11.2% 3.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.2% 8.6% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.7% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.6% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.1% · Draw 25.7% · Away win 15.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1