Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 19:00 • Cegeka Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.91 (league 1.43) 1.63 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.0% 24.7% 53.7%
best score tips
0 - 1
12.8%
1 - 1
11.7%
0 - 2
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
Liège
0 1 2 3 4 5
KRC Genk II 0 7.9% 12.8% 10.5% 5.7% 2.3% 0.8%
1 7.2% 11.7% 9.5% 5.2% 2.1% 0.7%
2 3.3% 5.3% 4.3% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3%
3 1.0% 1.6% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKRC Genk IILiège
Played55
Form27%73%
Attack64%73%
Defense0%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric KRC Genk II Liège
HATHAT
Played111122121123
Wins27%18%23%58%45%52%
Draws9%36%23%8%27%17%
Loses64%45%55%33%27%30%

Form: KRC Genk II: LDWLWLLLWLDDLLWDLLLLWD • Liège: LWWLWDLWWWWDLLLWLWWDWDW

League goals

Metric KRC Genk II Liège
HATHAT
GF total141428211233
GF avg1.31.31.31.81.11.4
GA total222345131124
GA avg2.02.12.01.11.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKRC Genk IILiège
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%86%70%61%
1.536%64%43%35%
2.518%27%17%9%
3.55%23%9%0%
4.50%5%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKRC Genk IILiège
HATHAT
Clean sheets213459
Failed to score437347

Penalties

MetricKRC Genk IILiège
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricKRC Genk IILiège
Wins14
Draws21
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-25-00-3
Biggest losses1-45-00-23-0
Goals For3453
Goals Against4533

Model comparison

MetricKRC Genk IILiège
Form27%73%
Att47%53%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h20%80%
Goals29%71%
Total30.7%69.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Liège

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.35 @ Unibet
Draw3.65 @ 188Bet
Away2.36 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.76 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.18 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Pinnacle
No2.35 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): KRC Genk II = 0.91 (league 1.43), Liège = 1.63 (league 1.35)

Liège
0 1 2 3 4 5
KRC Genk II 0 7.9% 12.8% 10.5% 5.7% 2.3% 0.8%
1 7.2% 11.7% 9.5% 5.2% 2.1% 0.7%
2 3.3% 5.3% 4.3% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3%
3 1.0% 1.6% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.0% · Draw 24.7% · Away win 53.7%

vtt 2 , vtd1