Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 19:00 • Cegeka Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.15 (league 1.47) 1.06 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.7% 29.0% 33.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.4%
1 - 0
12.7%
0 - 1
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
K. Lierse S.K.
0 1 2 3 4 5
KRC Genk II 0 11.0% 11.6% 6.1% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
1 12.7% 13.4% 7.1% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 7.3% 7.7% 4.1% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.8% 3.0% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKRC Genk IIK. Lierse S.K.
Played55
Form47%7%
Attack60%33%
Defense47%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric KRC Genk II K. Lierse S.K.
HATHAT
Played121224121224
Wins33%17%25%33%17%25%
Draws8%33%21%25%25%25%
Loses58%50%54%42%58%50%

Form: KRC Genk II: LDWLWLLLWLDDLLWDLLLLWDWL • K. Lierse S.K.: LLWLLWDDLLDDWWWWDLLDLLLL

League goals

Metric KRC Genk II K. Lierse S.K.
HATHAT
GF total161531151025
GF avg1.31.31.31.30.81.0
GA total222547171633
GA avg1.82.12.01.41.31.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKRC Genk IIK. Lierse S.K.
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%83%63%71%
1.538%63%25%46%
2.517%25%13%13%
3.54%21%4%8%
4.50%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKRC Genk IIK. Lierse S.K.
HATHAT
Clean sheets314437
Failed to score437459

Penalties

MetricKRC Genk IIK. Lierse S.K.
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricKRC Genk IIK. Lierse S.K.
Wins14
Draws22
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-22-00-1
Biggest losses1-45-01-32-0
Goals For3443
Goals Against4544

Model comparison

MetricKRC Genk IIK. Lierse S.K.
Form88%13%
Att64%36%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h7%93%
Goals32%68%
Total50.0%50.2%

Advice: Double chance : KRC Genk II or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.30 @ Unibet
Draw3.75 @ Pinnacle
Away3.03 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.68 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.21 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Pinnacle
No2.41 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): KRC Genk II = 1.15 (league 1.47), K. Lierse S.K. = 1.06 (league 1.36)

K. Lierse S.K.
0 1 2 3 4 5
KRC Genk II 0 11.0% 11.6% 6.1% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
1 12.7% 13.4% 7.1% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 7.3% 7.7% 4.1% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.8% 3.0% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.7% · Draw 29.0% · Away win 33.0%

vtt 6 , vtd1