Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 15:00 • Soevereinstadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.10 (league 1.43) 0.57 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.0% 18.1% 8.9%
best score tips
2 - 0
15.2%
1 - 0
14.5%
3 - 0
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
Seraing United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lommel United 0 6.9% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 14.5% 8.3% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.2% 8.7% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.7% 6.1% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.6% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLommel UnitedSeraing United
Played55
Form47%33%
Attack35%24%
Defense65%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lommel United Seraing United
HATHAT
Played111425111223
Wins55%50%52%27%8%17%
Draws18%29%24%27%42%35%
Loses27%21%24%45%50%48%

Form: Lommel United: DWDWWLWLWDLDDLWWWWWWLDLWW • Seraing United: LLDWLLDLLDDDDWLLLWDDLLW

League goals

Metric Lommel United Seraing United
HATHAT
GF total22274915722
GF avg2.01.92.01.40.61.0
GA total142236161834
GA avg1.31.61.41.51.51.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLommel UnitedSeraing United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.584%72%61%78%
1.572%48%26%48%
2.532%16%9%13%
3.58%8%0%4%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLommel UnitedSeraing United
HATHAT
Clean sheets347145
Failed to score134279

Penalties

MetricLommel UnitedSeraing United
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total15

Streaks

MetricLommel UnitedSeraing United
Wins61
Draws24
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-23-10-1
Biggest losses1-24-20-25-0
Goals For4432
Goals Against3435

Model comparison

MetricLommel UnitedSeraing United
Form58%42%
Att60%40%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution80%20%
H2h75%25%
Goals56%44%
Total62.3%37.7%

Advice: Double chance : Lommel United or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.62 @ Unibet
Draw4.21 @ Pinnacle
Away5.42 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.20 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.74 @ 188Bet
No2.16 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Lommel United = 2.10 (league 1.43), Seraing United = 0.57 (league 1.36)

Seraing United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lommel United 0 6.9% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 14.5% 8.3% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.2% 8.7% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.7% 6.1% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.6% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.0% · Draw 18.1% · Away win 8.9%

vtt 8 , vtd1