Sat, Mar 7 2026 • 19:00 • Soevereinstadion
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.39 (league 1.42) 1.34 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.1% 25.6% 35.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.1%
1 - 0
9.0%
0 - 1
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
Kortrijk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lommel United 0 6.5% 8.7% 5.8% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
1 9.0% 12.1% 8.1% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.3% 8.5% 5.7% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2%
3 2.9% 3.9% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.0% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLommel UnitedKortrijk
Played55
Form47%60%
Attack50%58%
Defense50%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lommel United Kortrijk
HATHAT
Played121426131225
Wins50%50%50%85%50%68%
Draws17%29%23%8%17%12%
Loses33%21%27%8%33%20%

Form: Lommel United: DWDWWLWLWDLDDLWWWWWWLDLWWL • Kortrijk: WWWWWDWWLWWWWDLWDWLWLWLWW

League goals

Metric Lommel United Kortrijk
HATHAT
GF total222749291746
GF avg1.81.91.92.21.41.8
GA total152237121325
GA avg1.31.61.40.91.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLommel UnitedKortrijk
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%73%80%68%
1.569%46%52%28%
2.531%15%36%4%
3.58%8%12%0%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLommel UnitedKortrijk
HATHAT
Clean sheets347628
Failed to score235055

Penalties

MetricLommel UnitedKortrijk
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total14

Streaks

MetricLommel UnitedKortrijk
Wins65
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-25-20-3
Biggest losses1-24-21-32-0
Goals For4453
Goals Against3432

Model comparison

MetricLommel UnitedKortrijk
Form44%56%
Att46%54%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h0%100%
Goals29%71%
Total44.2%55.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Kortrijk

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.21 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Unibet
Away2.27 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.93 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Pinnacle
No2.15 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lommel United = 1.39 (league 1.42), Kortrijk = 1.34 (league 1.36)

Kortrijk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lommel United 0 6.5% 8.7% 5.8% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
1 9.0% 12.1% 8.1% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.3% 8.5% 5.7% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2%
3 2.9% 3.9% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.0% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.1% · Draw 25.6% · Away win 35.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1