Fri, Apr 17 2026 • 18:00 •
Cegeka Arena
Expected Goals
1.43 (league 1.46)
1.84 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 29.7% | 22.7% | 46.2% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.0%
1 - 2
9.2%
2 - 1
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
| KAA Gent II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| KRC Genk II | 0 | 3.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 5.4% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% | |
| 2 | 3.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | KRC Genk II | KAA Gent II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 27% |
| Attack | 89% | 67% |
| Defense | 22% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
87%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | KRC Genk II | KAA Gent II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 16 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 31 |
| Wins | 27% | 19% | 23% | 31% | 47% | 39% |
| Draws | 20% | 38% | 29% | 25% | 0% | 13% |
| Loses | 53% | 44% | 48% | 44% | 53% | 48% |
Form: KRC Genk II: LDWLWLLLWLDDLLWDLLLLWDWLLLDDWDD • KAA Gent II: WLDLWDLWLLWWDLLLWWWWLLWLWLDLWLL
League goals
| Metric | KRC Genk II | KAA Gent II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 20 | 21 | 41 | 20 | 21 | 41 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 27 | 31 | 58 | 26 | 24 | 50 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | KRC Genk II | KAA Gent II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 84% | 65% | 81% |
| 1.5 | 45% | 61% | 45% | 48% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 23% | 16% | 23% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 16% | 6% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 3% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | KRC Genk II | KAA Gent II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | KRC Genk II | KAA Gent II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | KRC Genk II | KAA Gent II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-2 | 3-1 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 5-0 | 2-4 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | KRC Genk II | KAA Gent II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 63% | 37% |
| Poisson Distribution | 45% | 55% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 55.8% | 44.2% |
Advice: Double chance : KRC Genk II or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.60 @ Dafabet
Draw3.80 @ Dafabet
Away2.43 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.42 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.60 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.37 @ Unibet
No2.80 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): KRC Genk II = 1.43 (league 1.46), KAA Gent II = 1.84 (league 1.37)
| KAA Gent II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| KRC Genk II | 0 | 3.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 5.4% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% | |
| 2 | 3.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.7% · Draw 22.7% · Away win 46.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1
