Mon, Oct 20 2025 • 00:00 • Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.21 (league 1.14) 0.96 (league 0.93)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.1% 19.2% 15.2%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.2%
2 - 1
9.9%
1 - 0
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Deportivo Saprissa
0 1 2 3 4 5
LD Alajuelense 0 4.2% 4.1% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
1 9.3% 8.9% 4.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.2% 9.9% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.5% 7.2% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 4.1% 4.0% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.8% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLD AlajuelenseDeportivo Saprissa
Played55
Form73%87%
Attack90%100%
Defense70%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.813 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric LD Alajuelense Deportivo Saprissa
HATHAT
Played56116612
Wins60%50%55%83%33%58%
Draws20%33%27%0%33%17%
Loses20%17%18%17%33%25%

Form: LD Alajuelense: WWLDWLWWDDW • Deportivo Saprissa: WWLDWLLWDWWW

League goals

Metric LD Alajuelense Deportivo Saprissa
HATHAT
GF total771414923
GF avg1.41.21.32.31.51.9
GA total34731114
GA avg0.60.70.60.51.81.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLD AlajuelenseDeportivo Saprissa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%45%83%58%
1.545%18%67%33%
2.59%0%33%25%
3.50%0%8%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLD AlajuelenseDeportivo Saprissa
HATHAT
Clean sheets336325
Failed to score123112

Penalties

MetricLD AlajuelenseDeportivo Saprissa
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricLD AlajuelenseDeportivo Saprissa
Wins22
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-34-00-2
Biggest losses0-12-10-13-0
Goals For2343
Goals Against2213

Model comparison

MetricLD AlajuelenseDeportivo Saprissa
Form46%54%
Att41%59%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution70%30%
H2h75%25%
Goals58%42%
Total58.8%41.3%

Advice: Double chance : LD Alajuelense or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.40 @ Unibet
Draw3.20 @ Unibet
Away3.34 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.19 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.72 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.84 @ Pinnacle
No1.96 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): LD Alajuelense = 2.21 (league 1.14), Deportivo Saprissa = 0.96 (league 0.93)

Deportivo Saprissa
0 1 2 3 4 5
LD Alajuelense 0 4.2% 4.1% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
1 9.3% 8.9% 4.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.2% 9.9% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.5% 7.2% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 4.1% 4.0% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.8% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.1% · Draw 19.2% · Away win 15.2%

Vtot 4 , Vtod4