Mon, Nov 3 2025 • 01:00 • Estadio Edgardo Baltodano Briceño
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.78 (league 1.16) 0.86 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.4% 34.7% 34.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
19.3%
0 - 1
16.6%
1 - 0
15.1%
Score & goals probability table
LD Alajuelense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Municipal Liberia 0 19.3% 16.6% 7.2% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.1% 13.0% 5.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 5.9% 5.1% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.5% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMunicipal LiberiaLD Alajuelense
Played55
Form53%73%
Attack19%63%
Defense75%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.610 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Municipal Liberia LD Alajuelense
HATHAT
Played77147613
Wins57%29%43%71%50%62%
Draws43%29%36%14%33%23%
Loses0%43%21%14%17%15%

Form: Municipal Liberia: WDWDWLWLDWDDWL • LD Alajuelense: WWLDWLWWDDWWW

League goals

Metric Municipal Liberia LD Alajuelense
HATHAT
GF total981712719
GF avg1.31.11.21.71.21.5
GA total5914549
GA avg0.71.31.00.70.70.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMunicipal LiberiaLD Alajuelense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%57%77%46%
1.543%36%54%23%
2.57%7%15%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMunicipal LiberiaLD Alajuelense
HATHAT
Clean sheets426437
Failed to score134123

Penalties

MetricMunicipal LiberiaLD Alajuelense
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricMunicipal LiberiaLD Alajuelense
Wins12
Draws22
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-32-01-3
Biggest losses—3-00-12-1
Goals For2333
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricMunicipal LiberiaLD Alajuelense
Form42%58%
Att23%77%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h7%93%
Goals27%73%
Total33.3%66.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or LD Alajuelense and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.15 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away2.59 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.01 @ 188Bet
No1.91 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.33 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.62 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Municipal Liberia = 0.78 (league 1.16), LD Alajuelense = 0.86 (league 0.97)

LD Alajuelense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Municipal Liberia 0 19.3% 16.6% 7.2% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.1% 13.0% 5.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 5.9% 5.1% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.5% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.4% · Draw 34.7% · Away win 34.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1