Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 12:00 • ALPI Arena Naesby
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.52 (league 1.65) 1.31 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.7% 25.0% 32.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.8%
1 - 0
9.0%
2 - 1
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
Holbæk B&I
0 1 2 3 4 5
Næsby 0 5.9% 7.8% 5.1% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
1 9.0% 11.8% 7.7% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.8% 8.9% 5.8% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 3.5% 4.5% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.3% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNæsbyHolbæk B&I
Played55
Form33%67%
Attack62%85%
Defense31%77%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.611 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Næsby Holbæk B&I
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins75%40%56%60%50%56%
Draws25%20%22%20%0%11%
Loses0%40%22%20%50%33%

Form: Næsby: WWWWDWLDL • Holbæk B&I: WLWLWWLWD

League goals

Metric Næsby Holbæk B&I
HATHAT
GF total1081815722
GF avg2.51.62.03.01.82.4
GA total4913549
GA avg1.01.81.41.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNæsbyHolbæk B&I
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%89%67%56%
1.567%44%56%33%
2.533%11%56%11%
3.511%0%33%0%
4.50%0%22%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNæsbyHolbæk B&I
HATHAT
Clean sheets101314
Failed to score011123

Penalties

MetricNæsbyHolbæk B&I
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricNæsbyHolbæk B&I
Wins42
Draws10
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-12-36-00-4
Biggest losses2-01-22-0
Goals For4364
Goals Against2332

Model comparison

MetricNæsbyHolbæk B&I
Form33%67%
Att42%58%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h38%62%
Goals42%58%
Total37.8%62.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Holbæk B&I

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.71 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.61 @ Pinnacle
Away2.37 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.42 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.54 @ Unibet
No2.53 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Næsby = 1.52 (league 1.65), Holbæk B&I = 1.31 (league 1.38)

Holbæk B&I
0 1 2 3 4 5
Næsby 0 5.9% 7.8% 5.1% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
1 9.0% 11.8% 7.7% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.8% 8.9% 5.8% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 3.5% 4.5% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.3% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.7% · Draw 25.0% · Away win 32.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1