Sat, Mar 28 2026 • 13:00 •
ALPI Arena Naesby
Expected Goals
2.13 (league 1.67)
2.09 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 38.6% | 20.1% | 37.2% |
best score tips
2 - 2
7.3%
2 - 1
7.0%
1 - 2
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Hørsholm-Usserød | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Næsby | 0 | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 3.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% | |
| 2 | 3.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% | |
| 3 | 2.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Næsby | Hørsholm-Usserød |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 27% |
| Attack | 56% | 50% |
| Defense | 56% | 44% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
72%
FT probability
3.5+
51%
FT probability
BTTS
81%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Næsby | Hørsholm-Usserød | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 10 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| Wins | 56% | 40% | 47% | 40% | 33% | 37% |
| Draws | 22% | 10% | 16% | 20% | 33% | 26% |
| Loses | 22% | 50% | 37% | 40% | 33% | 37% |
Form: Næsby: WWWWDWLDLWLLLLLDWWW • Hørsholm-Usserød: LWWWDLDLLDWWWDDLLLW
League goals
| Metric | Næsby | Hørsholm-Usserød | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 16 | 35 | 19 | 15 | 34 |
| GF avg | 2.1 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 15 | 19 | 34 | 18 | 15 | 33 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Næsby | Hørsholm-Usserød | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 84% | 89% | 74% | 84% |
| 1.5 | 58% | 42% | 53% | 58% |
| 2.5 | 26% | 21% | 26% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 16% | 21% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 11% | 5% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Næsby | Hørsholm-Usserød | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Næsby | Hørsholm-Usserød |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Næsby | Hørsholm-Usserød |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 2-3 | 5-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-5 | 5-3 | 0-4 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Næsby | Hørsholm-Usserød |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 71% | 29% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 50% | 50% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 55.0% | 45.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Næsby or draw and +1.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Næsby = 2.13 (league 1.67), Hørsholm-Usserød = 2.09 (league 1.38)
| Hørsholm-Usserød | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Næsby | 0 | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 3.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% | |
| 2 | 3.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% | |
| 3 | 2.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.6% · Draw 20.1% · Away win 37.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1