Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 11:00 • Sparekassen Thy Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.72 (league 1.51) 0.79 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.6% 23.6% 17.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.9%
2 - 0
12.0%
1 - 1
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
Roskilde
0 1 2 3 4 5
Thisted FC 0 8.1% 6.4% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 13.9% 11.1% 4.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.0% 9.5% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.9% 5.4% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.9% 2.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricThisted FCRoskilde
Played55
Form73%67%
Attack63%63%
Defense69%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Thisted FC Roskilde
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins67%75%71%75%33%57%
Draws33%25%29%25%0%14%
Loses0%0%0%0%67%29%

Form: Thisted FC: WWDWWDW • Roskilde: LWWWLDW

League goals

Metric Thisted FC Roskilde
HATHAT
GF total681412315
GF avg2.02.02.03.01.02.1
GA total347246
GA avg1.01.01.00.51.30.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineThisted FCRoskilde
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%71%86%71%
1.586%29%57%14%
2.514%0%29%0%
3.50%0%29%0%
4.50%0%14%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricThisted FCRoskilde
HATHAT
Clean sheets112202
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricThisted FCRoskilde
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricThisted FCRoskilde
Wins23
Draws11
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-25-01-2
Biggest losses2-1
Goals For2352
Goals Against2212

Model comparison

MetricThisted FCRoskilde
Form52%48%
Att50%50%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution70%30%
H2h50%50%
Goals47%53%
Total53.2%46.8%

Advice: Double chance : Thisted FC or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.25 @ Unibet
Draw3.44 @ Pinnacle
Away2.20 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.93 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.97 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.74 @ Unibet
No2.10 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Thisted FC = 1.72 (league 1.51), Roskilde = 0.79 (league 1.26)

Roskilde
0 1 2 3 4 5
Thisted FC 0 8.1% 6.4% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 13.9% 11.1% 4.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.0% 9.5% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.9% 5.4% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.9% 2.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.6% · Draw 23.6% · Away win 17.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1