First NL — Croatia
Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 14:00 • Gradski stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.31 (league 1.21) 2.40 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.0% 15.8% 24.2%
best score tips
3 - 2
5.8%
2 - 2
5.2%
3 - 1
4.8%
Score & goals probability table
Croatia Zmijavci
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hrvace 0 0.3% 0.8% 1.0% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2%
1 1.1% 2.6% 3.2% 2.5% 1.5% 0.7%
2 1.8% 4.4% 5.2% 4.2% 2.5% 1.2%
3 2.0% 4.8% 5.8% 4.6% 2.8% 1.3%
4 1.7% 4.0% 4.8% 3.8% 2.3% 1.1%
5 1.1% 2.6% 3.2% 2.5% 1.5% 0.7%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHrvaceCroatia Zmijavci
Played55
Form20%7%
Attack42%8%
Defense0%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 11 | 0.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

92%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hrvace Croatia Zmijavci
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins67%0%33%0%33%17%
Draws0%0%0%33%0%17%
Loses33%100%67%67%67%67%

Form: Hrvace: WLLWLL • Croatia Zmijavci: WDLLLL

League goals

Metric Hrvace Croatia Zmijavci
HATHAT
GF total628044
GF avg2.00.71.30.01.30.7
GA total6814268
GA avg2.02.72.30.72.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHrvaceCroatia Zmijavci
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%100%33%67%
1.533%83%17%33%
2.517%33%17%17%
3.50%17%0%17%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHrvaceCroatia Zmijavci
HATHAT
Clean sheets000112
Failed to score011314

Penalties

MetricHrvaceCroatia Zmijavci
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricHrvaceCroatia Zmijavci
Wins11
Draws01
Losses20

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-2——0-3
Biggest losses1-34-10-14-1
Goals For3103
Goals Against3414

Model comparison

MetricHrvaceCroatia Zmijavci
Form75%25%
Att83%17%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total61.3%38.8%

Advice: Double chance : Hrvace or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.70 @ Betfair
Draw3.32 @ Pinnacle
Away2.76 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.71 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ Superbet
No1.91 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hrvace = 3.31 (league 1.21), Croatia Zmijavci = 2.40 (league 1.08)

Croatia Zmijavci
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hrvace 0 0.3% 0.8% 1.0% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2%
1 1.1% 2.6% 3.2% 2.5% 1.5% 0.7%
2 1.8% 4.4% 5.2% 4.2% 2.5% 1.2%
3 2.0% 4.8% 5.8% 4.6% 2.8% 1.3%
4 1.7% 4.0% 4.8% 3.8% 2.3% 1.1%
5 1.1% 2.6% 3.2% 2.5% 1.5% 0.7%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.0% · Draw 15.8% · Away win 24.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1