First NL — Croatia
Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 12:00 • Stadion sv. Josip Radnik
Match Finished
1 - 0
Expected Goals
0.82 (league 1.21) 0.14 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.3% 42.7% 6.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
38.2%
1 - 0
31.5%
2 - 0
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
Jarun
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sesvete 0 38.2% 5.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 31.5% 4.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.0% 1.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSesveteJarun
Played55
Form40%33%
Attack33%33%
Defense67%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

47%
FT probability

2.5+

33%
FT probability

3.5+

24%
FT probability

BTTS

53%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sesvete Jarun
HATHAT
Played246336
Wins0%25%17%33%0%17%
Draws100%50%67%67%0%33%
Loses0%25%17%0%100%50%

Form: Sesvete: DDLWDD • Jarun: LDDLLW

League goals

Metric Sesvete Jarun
HATHAT
GF total134314
GF avg0.50.80.71.00.30.7
GA total134167
GA avg0.50.80.70.32.01.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSesveteJarun
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%50%50%67%
1.50%17%17%50%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSesveteJarun
HATHAT
Clean sheets123202
Failed to score112123

Penalties

MetricSesveteJarun
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricSesveteJarun
Wins10
Draws22
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-12-0—
Biggest losses—2-1—2-0
Goals For1121
Goals Against1212

Model comparison

MetricSesveteJarun
Form55%45%
Att50%50%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h60%40%
Goals57%43%
Total59.0%41.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Sesvete or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.74 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.45 @ Pinnacle
Away4.80 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.02 @ Marathonbet
No1.70 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.22 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.62 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sesvete = 0.82 (league 1.21), Jarun = 0.14 (league 1.08)

Jarun
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sesvete 0 38.2% 5.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 31.5% 4.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.0% 1.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.3% · Draw 42.7% · Away win 6.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1