First NL — Croatia
Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 14:00 • Igralište Nogometni Klub Jarun
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.65 (league 1.23) 0.23 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.5% 47.7% 11.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
41.2%
1 - 0
26.9%
0 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
HNK Cibalia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jarun 0 41.2% 9.7% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.9% 6.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 8.8% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJarunHNK Cibalia
Played55
Form27%53%
Attack33%33%
Defense44%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

46%
FT probability

2.5+

33%
FT probability

3.5+

23%
FT probability

BTTS

47%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Jarun HNK Cibalia
HATHAT
Played347347
Wins33%0%14%33%25%29%
Draws67%0%29%33%50%43%
Loses0%100%57%33%25%29%

Form: Jarun: LDDLLWL • HNK Cibalia: LDDWDWL

League goals

Metric Jarun HNK Cibalia
HATHAT
GF total314336
GF avg1.00.30.61.00.80.9
GA total178437
GA avg0.31.81.11.30.81.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJarunHNK Cibalia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.543%71%57%57%
1.514%43%29%29%
2.50%0%0%14%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJarunHNK Cibalia
HATHAT
Clean sheets202033
Failed to score134123

Penalties

MetricJarunHNK Cibalia
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricJarunHNK Cibalia
Wins11
Draws22
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—2-10-1
Biggest losses—2-00-23-2
Goals For2122
Goals Against1223

Model comparison

MetricJarunHNK Cibalia
Form33%67%
Att50%50%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h50%50%
Goals55%45%
Total48.7%51.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or HNK Cibalia and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.55 @ Betfair
Draw3.15 @ Superbet
Away3.10 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.15 @ William Hill
No1.67 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.55 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Jarun = 0.65 (league 1.23), HNK Cibalia = 0.23 (league 1.02)

HNK Cibalia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jarun 0 41.2% 9.7% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.9% 6.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 8.8% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.5% · Draw 47.7% · Away win 11.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1