First NL — Croatia
Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 13:30 • Stadion ŠRC Marijan Šuto Mrma
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.40 (league 1.21) 0.09 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.3% 63.7% 6.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
61.4%
1 - 0
24.3%
0 - 1
5.7%
Score & goals probability table
Jarun
0 1 2 3 4 5
Croatia Zmijavci 0 61.4% 5.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.3% 2.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 4.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCroatia ZmijavciJarun
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack36%29%
Defense71%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

46%
FT probability

2.5+

32%
FT probability

3.5+

23%
FT probability

BTTS

49%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Croatia Zmijavci Jarun
HATHAT
Played459459
Wins25%40%33%50%0%22%
Draws25%20%22%50%0%22%
Loses50%40%44%0%100%56%

Form: Croatia Zmijavci: WDLLLLDWW • Jarun: LDDLLWLWL

League goals

Metric Croatia Zmijavci Jarun
HATHAT
GF total189516
GF avg0.31.61.01.30.20.7
GA total2792810
GA avg0.51.41.00.51.61.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCroatia ZmijavciJarun
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%56%44%78%
1.522%22%22%33%
2.522%11%0%0%
3.50%11%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCroatia ZmijavciJarun
HATHAT
Clean sheets224202
Failed to score314145

Penalties

MetricCroatia ZmijavciJarun
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricCroatia ZmijavciJarun
Wins11
Draws12
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-32-0—
Biggest losses0-14-1—2-0
Goals For1321
Goals Against1412

Model comparison

MetricCroatia ZmijavciJarun
Form54%46%
Att56%44%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h62%38%
Goals57%43%
Total59.7%40.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Croatia Zmijavci or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.41 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.06 @ Pinnacle
Away3.08 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.38 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.57 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No1.75 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Croatia Zmijavci = 0.40 (league 1.21), Jarun = 0.09 (league 1.08)

Jarun
0 1 2 3 4 5
Croatia Zmijavci 0 61.4% 5.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.3% 2.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 4.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.3% · Draw 63.7% · Away win 6.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1