First NL — Croatia
Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 11:15 • Stadion BSK
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.60 (league 1.23) 1.25 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.8% 24.6% 29.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.6%
2 - 1
9.2%
1 - 0
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Croatia Zmijavci
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bsk Bijelo Brdo 0 5.8% 7.2% 4.5% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
1 9.2% 11.6% 7.2% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.4% 9.2% 5.8% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
3 3.9% 4.9% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.6% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBsk Bijelo BrdoCroatia Zmijavci
Played55
Form0%53%
Attack8%58%
Defense17%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bsk Bijelo Brdo Croatia Zmijavci
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins40%0%20%20%40%30%
Draws20%40%30%40%20%30%
Loses40%60%50%40%40%40%

Form: Bsk Bijelo Brdo: WDDDWLLLLL • Croatia Zmijavci: WDLLLLDWWD

League goals

Metric Bsk Bijelo Brdo Croatia Zmijavci
HATHAT
GF total7293811
GF avg1.40.40.90.61.61.1
GA total48124711
GA avg0.81.61.20.81.41.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBsk Bijelo BrdoCroatia Zmijavci
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%70%60%60%
1.520%30%30%30%
2.510%10%20%10%
3.510%10%0%10%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBsk Bijelo BrdoCroatia Zmijavci
HATHAT
Clean sheets303224
Failed to score235314

Penalties

MetricBsk Bijelo BrdoCroatia Zmijavci
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricBsk Bijelo BrdoCroatia Zmijavci
Wins12
Draws31
Losses04

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-0—1-00-3
Biggest losses0-24-00-14-1
Goals For4123
Goals Against2424

Model comparison

MetricBsk Bijelo BrdoCroatia Zmijavci
Form0%100%
Att13%88%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h62%38%
Goals50%50%
Total41.2%59.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Croatia Zmijavci

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.80 @ Bet365
Draw3.37 @ Pinnacle
Away7.07 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.25 @ Bet365
No1.62 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.38 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.58 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bsk Bijelo Brdo = 1.60 (league 1.23), Croatia Zmijavci = 1.25 (league 1.02)

Croatia Zmijavci
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bsk Bijelo Brdo 0 5.8% 7.2% 4.5% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
1 9.2% 11.6% 7.2% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.4% 9.2% 5.8% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
3 3.9% 4.9% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.6% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.8% · Draw 24.6% · Away win 29.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1