First NL — Croatia
Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 11:45 • Igralište Nogometni Klub Jarun
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.07 (league 1.21) 0.37 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.2% 34.0% 12.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
25.4%
0 - 0
23.7%
2 - 0
13.6%
Score & goals probability table
Dubrava Zagreb
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jarun 0 23.7% 8.7% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.4% 9.4% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.6% 5.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.8% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJarunDubrava Zagreb
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack50%42%
Defense58%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Jarun Dubrava Zagreb
HATHAT
Played46106410
Wins50%0%20%50%25%40%
Draws50%17%30%17%25%20%
Loses0%83%50%33%50%40%

Form: Jarun: LDDLLWLWLD • Dubrava Zagreb: LWLWLWWLDD

League goals

Metric Jarun Dubrava Zagreb
HATHAT
GF total5387310
GF avg1.30.50.81.20.81.0
GA total210128412
GA avg0.51.71.21.31.01.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJarunDubrava Zagreb
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%80%60%70%
1.530%40%40%40%
2.50%0%0%10%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJarunDubrava Zagreb
HATHAT
Clean sheets202213
Failed to score145224

Penalties

MetricJarunDubrava Zagreb
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricJarunDubrava Zagreb
Wins12
Draws20
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—2-01-2
Biggest losses—2-00-32-1
Goals For2222
Goals Against1232

Model comparison

MetricJarunDubrava Zagreb
Form47%53%
Att55%45%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution70%30%
H2h60%40%
Goals63%38%
Total57.5%42.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Jarun or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.44 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away3.16 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.71 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Bet365
No1.97 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Jarun = 1.07 (league 1.21), Dubrava Zagreb = 0.37 (league 1.08)

Dubrava Zagreb
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jarun 0 23.7% 8.7% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.4% 9.4% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.6% 5.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.8% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.2% · Draw 34.0% · Away win 12.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1