First NL — Croatia
Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 13:00 • Igralište Nogometni Klub Jarun
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.98 (league 1.23) 0.88 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.5% 32.2% 31.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
15.6%
1 - 0
15.2%
0 - 1
13.7%
Score & goals probability table
Karlovac 1919
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jarun 0 15.6% 13.7% 6.0% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.2% 13.4% 5.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 7.5% 6.6% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.4% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJarunKarlovac 1919
Played55
Form33%33%
Attack50%40%
Defense40%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Jarun Karlovac 1919
HATHAT
Played56117411
Wins40%0%18%57%50%55%
Draws60%17%36%14%25%18%
Loses0%83%45%29%25%27%

Form: Jarun: LDDLLWLWLDD • Karlovac 1919: WLWWWWWDLLD

League goals

Metric Jarun Karlovac 1919
HATHAT
GF total63912618
GF avg1.20.50.81.71.51.6
GA total31013549
GA avg0.61.71.20.71.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJarunKarlovac 1919
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.555%82%73%73%
1.527%36%45%9%
2.50%0%27%0%
3.50%0%18%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJarunKarlovac 1919
HATHAT
Clean sheets202213
Failed to score145213

Penalties

MetricJarunKarlovac 1919
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricJarunKarlovac 1919
Wins15
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—4-11-3
Biggest losses—2-00-12-0
Goals For2243
Goals Against1212

Model comparison

MetricJarunKarlovac 1919
Form50%50%
Att56%44%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h67%33%
Goals50%50%
Total52.0%48.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Jarun or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.59 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.05 @ Superbet
Away2.32 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.38 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.61 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No1.82 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Jarun = 0.98 (league 1.23), Karlovac 1919 = 0.88 (league 1.02)

Karlovac 1919
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jarun 0 15.6% 13.7% 6.0% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.2% 13.4% 5.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 7.5% 6.6% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.4% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.5% · Draw 32.2% · Away win 31.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1