First NL — Croatia
Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 11:45 • Igralište Nogometni Klub Jarun
Match Finished
1 - 0
Expected Goals
2.69 (league 1.23) 0.89 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
69.8% 14.7% 9.9%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.1%
3 - 0
9.0%
2 - 1
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Hrvace
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jarun 0 2.8% 2.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 7.5% 6.7% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.1% 9.0% 4.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 9.0% 8.1% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
4 6.1% 5.4% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 3.3% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJarunHrvace
Played55
Form33%60%
Attack88%100%
Defense0%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Jarun Hrvace
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins50%0%23%43%17%31%
Draws50%14%31%29%33%31%
Loses0%86%46%29%50%38%

Form: Jarun: LDDLLWLWLDDWL • Hrvace: WLLWLLDLWWDDD

League goals

Metric Jarun Hrvace
HATHAT
GF total941310818
GF avg1.50.61.01.41.31.4
GA total4131781321
GA avg0.71.91.31.12.21.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJarunHrvace
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%85%77%85%
1.531%38%46%54%
2.58%8%15%15%
3.50%0%0%8%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJarunHrvace
HATHAT
Clean sheets202202
Failed to score145213

Penalties

MetricJarunHrvace
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricJarunHrvace
Wins12
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-1—3-01-2
Biggest losses—3-11-34-1
Goals For3232
Goals Against1334

Model comparison

MetricJarunHrvace
Form36%64%
Att44%56%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h0%100%
Goals33%67%
Total44.6%55.4%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Hrvace

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.97 @ 1xBet
Draw3.45 @ Superbet
Away3.55 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.84 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Bet365
No2.00 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Jarun = 2.69 (league 1.23), Hrvace = 0.89 (league 1.02)

Hrvace
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jarun 0 2.8% 2.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 7.5% 6.7% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.1% 9.0% 4.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 9.0% 8.1% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
4 6.1% 5.4% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 3.3% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.8% · Draw 14.7% · Away win 9.9%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1