First NL — Croatia
Fri, Nov 14 2025 • 13:00 • Stadion sv. Josip Radnik
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.82 (league 1.20) 0.88 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.1% 34.0% 34.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
18.3%
0 - 1
16.2%
1 - 0
14.9%
Score & goals probability table
Croatia Zmijavci
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sesvete 0 18.3% 16.2% 7.1% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.9% 13.2% 5.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 6.1% 5.4% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.7% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSesveteCroatia Zmijavci
Played55
Form20%13%
Attack38%63%
Defense25%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sesvete Croatia Zmijavci
HATHAT
Played68147714
Wins17%38%29%14%29%21%
Draws67%38%50%43%14%29%
Loses17%25%21%43%57%50%

Form: Sesvete: DDLWDDWWWDDLLD • Croatia Zmijavci: WDLLLLDWWDLLLD

League goals

Metric Sesvete Croatia Zmijavci
HATHAT
GF total47115914
GF avg0.70.90.80.71.31.0
GA total461071017
GA avg0.70.80.71.01.41.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSesveteCroatia Zmijavci
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%50%57%71%
1.514%21%29%36%
2.50%0%14%7%
3.50%0%0%7%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSesveteCroatia Zmijavci
HATHAT
Clean sheets347224
Failed to score325426

Penalties

MetricSesveteCroatia Zmijavci
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total14

Streaks

MetricSesveteCroatia Zmijavci
Wins32
Draws21
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-21-00-3
Biggest losses0-12-00-14-1
Goals For2223
Goals Against2224

Model comparison

MetricSesveteCroatia Zmijavci
Form60%40%
Att38%63%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h60%40%
Goals60%40%
Total53.2%47.0%

Advice: Double chance : Sesvete or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.83 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ Superbet
Away5.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.51 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.38 @ 188Bet
No1.62 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sesvete = 0.82 (league 1.20), Croatia Zmijavci = 0.88 (league 1.03)

Croatia Zmijavci
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sesvete 0 18.3% 16.2% 7.1% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.9% 13.2% 5.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 6.1% 5.4% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.7% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.1% · Draw 34.0% · Away win 34.9%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1