First NL — Croatia
Thu, Dec 4 2025 • 15:00 • Stadion HNK Cibalia
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.98 (league 1.23) 0.70 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.7% 33.8% 25.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
18.6%
1 - 0
18.2%
0 - 1
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
Sesvete
0 1 2 3 4 5
HNK Cibalia 0 18.6% 13.1% 4.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.2% 12.8% 4.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 8.9% 6.3% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.9% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHNK CibaliaSesvete
Played55
Form67%33%
Attack100%22%
Defense67%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.82 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

53%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric HNK Cibalia Sesvete
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins50%38%44%25%38%31%
Draws38%25%31%63%38%50%
Loses13%38%25%13%25%19%

Form: HNK Cibalia: LDDWDWLLDWWDLWWW • Sesvete: DDLWDDWWWDDLLDDW

League goals

Metric HNK Cibalia Sesvete
HATHAT
GF total126186713
GF avg1.50.81.10.80.90.8
GA total66125611
GA avg0.80.80.80.60.80.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHNK CibaliaSesvete
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%44%69%50%
1.531%25%13%19%
2.56%6%0%0%
3.56%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHNK CibaliaSesvete
HATHAT
Clean sheets459448
Failed to score235325

Penalties

MetricHNK CibaliaSesvete
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total51

Streaks

MetricHNK CibaliaSesvete
Wins23
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-11-00-2
Biggest losses0-23-20-12-0
Goals For4222
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricHNK CibaliaSesvete
Form67%33%
Att82%18%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h38%62%
Goals44%56%
Total57.0%43.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : HNK Cibalia or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.83 @ William Hill
Draw3.10 @ Betfair
Away4.60 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.55 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.25 @ Bet365
No1.67 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): HNK Cibalia = 0.98 (league 1.23), Sesvete = 0.70 (league 1.02)

Sesvete
0 1 2 3 4 5
HNK Cibalia 0 18.6% 13.1% 4.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.2% 12.8% 4.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 8.9% 6.3% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.9% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.7% · Draw 33.8% · Away win 25.4%

Vtot 6 , Vtod1