First NL — Croatia
Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 11:45 • Stadion ŠRC Marijan Šuto Mrma
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.51 (league 1.23) 0.39 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.7% 49.0% 21.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
40.4%
1 - 0
20.8%
0 - 1
15.8%
Score & goals probability table
Dugopolje
0 1 2 3 4 5
Croatia Zmijavci 0 40.4% 15.8% 3.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.8% 8.1% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 5.3% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCroatia ZmijavciDugopolje
Played55
Form13%47%
Attack29%36%
Defense50%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

51%
FT probability

2.5+

36%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Croatia Zmijavci Dugopolje
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins14%25%20%75%14%47%
Draws43%25%33%13%29%20%
Loses43%50%47%13%57%33%

Form: Croatia Zmijavci: WDLLLLDWWDLLLDD • Dugopolje: LDWLWWLWWDLDWLW

League goals

Metric Croatia Zmijavci Dugopolje
HATHAT
GF total5101512315
GF avg0.71.31.01.50.41.0
GA total711187613
GA avg1.01.41.20.90.90.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCroatia ZmijavciDugopolje
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%73%67%67%
1.527%33%27%7%
2.513%7%7%7%
3.50%7%0%7%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCroatia ZmijavciDugopolje
HATHAT
Clean sheets224415
Failed to score426145

Penalties

MetricCroatia ZmijavciDugopolje
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricCroatia ZmijavciDugopolje
Wins22
Draws11
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-33-10-1
Biggest losses0-14-10-41-0
Goals For2331
Goals Against2441

Model comparison

MetricCroatia ZmijavciDugopolje
Form22%78%
Att44%56%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total42.0%58.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Dugopolje and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.21 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.01 @ Pinnacle
Away3.40 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.55 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Bet365
No1.67 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Croatia Zmijavci = 0.51 (league 1.23), Dugopolje = 0.39 (league 1.02)

Dugopolje
0 1 2 3 4 5
Croatia Zmijavci 0 40.4% 15.8% 3.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.8% 8.1% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 5.3% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.7% · Draw 49.0% · Away win 21.3%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1