First NL — Croatia
Fri, Oct 3 2025 • 16:00 • Stadion Branko Cavlovic-Cavlek
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.19 (league 1.21) 0.55 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.5% 31.1% 17.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
20.8%
0 - 0
17.6%
2 - 0
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
Sesvete
0 1 2 3 4 5
Karlovac 1919 0 17.6% 9.7% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.8% 11.5% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.4% 6.8% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.9% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKarlovac 1919Sesvete
Played55
Form87%73%
Attack100%63%
Defense63%88%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.61 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Karlovac 1919 Sesvete
HATHAT
Played538358
Wins80%67%75%33%40%38%
Draws20%0%13%67%40%50%
Loses0%33%13%0%20%13%

Form: Karlovac 1919: WLWWWWWD • Sesvete: DDLWDDWW

League goals

Metric Karlovac 1919 Sesvete
HATHAT
GF total12517257
GF avg2.41.72.10.71.00.9
GA total336134
GA avg0.61.00.80.30.60.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKarlovac 1919Sesvete
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%63%75%38%
1.563%13%13%13%
2.538%0%0%0%
3.525%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKarlovac 1919Sesvete
HATHAT
Clean sheets213235
Failed to score011112

Penalties

MetricKarlovac 1919Sesvete
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricKarlovac 1919Sesvete
Wins51
Draws02
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-31-00-2
Biggest losses—2-0—2-1
Goals For4312
Goals Against1212

Model comparison

MetricKarlovac 1919Sesvete
Form54%46%
Att69%31%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total52.3%47.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Karlovac 1919 or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.06 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away4.23 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.70 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.83 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Karlovac 1919 = 1.19 (league 1.21), Sesvete = 0.55 (league 1.08)

Sesvete
0 1 2 3 4 5
Karlovac 1919 0 17.6% 9.7% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.8% 11.5% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.4% 6.8% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.9% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.5% · Draw 31.1% · Away win 17.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1