First NL — Croatia
Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 14:00 • Gradski stadion Hrvace
Match Finished
1 - 2
Expected Goals
0.64 (league 1.21) 0.70 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.5% 39.4% 32.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
26.4%
0 - 1
18.3%
1 - 0
16.8%
Score & goals probability table
Sesvete
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hrvace 0 26.4% 18.3% 6.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.8% 11.7% 4.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 5.4% 3.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHrvaceSesvete
Played55
Form27%80%
Attack13%60%
Defense60%93%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.21 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hrvace Sesvete
HATHAT
Played101121111021
Wins40%9%24%45%40%43%
Draws30%27%29%45%30%38%
Loses30%64%48%9%30%19%

Form: Hrvace: WLLWLLDLWWDDDLDLLLLWD • Sesvete: DDLWDDWWWDDLLDDWLWWWW

League goals

Metric Hrvace Sesvete
HATHAT
GF total1192014822
GF avg1.10.81.01.30.81.0
GA total920295712
GA avg0.91.81.40.50.70.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHrvaceSesvete
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%76%71%43%
1.529%43%24%14%
2.510%14%10%0%
3.50%5%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHrvaceSesvete
HATHAT
Clean sheets4157512
Failed to score459336

Penalties

MetricHrvaceSesvete
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricHrvaceSesvete
Wins23
Draws32
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-23-00-2
Biggest losses1-34-10-12-0
Goals For3232
Goals Against3422

Model comparison

MetricHrvaceSesvete
Form25%75%
Att18%82%
Def14%86%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h50%50%
Goals54%46%
Total33.7%66.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Sesvete and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.58 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.15 @ Marathonbet
Away2.63 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.75 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.38 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.53 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hrvace = 0.64 (league 1.21), Sesvete = 0.70 (league 1.03)

Sesvete
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hrvace 0 26.4% 18.3% 6.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.8% 11.7% 4.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 5.4% 3.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.5% · Draw 39.4% · Away win 32.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1