Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 17:15 • Ta'Qali National Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.19 (league 1.14) 0.58 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.0% 30.9% 17.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
20.3%
0 - 0
17.1%
2 - 0
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Mosta
0 1 2 3 4 5
Birkirkara 0 17.1% 9.8% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.3% 11.7% 3.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.1% 7.0% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.8% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBirkirkaraMosta
Played44
Form25%33%
Attack27%36%
Defense64%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.84 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 17 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

50%
FT probability

2.5+

35%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

45%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Birkirkara Mosta
HATHAT
Played134134
Wins0%0%0%0%33%25%
Draws100%67%75%100%0%25%
Loses0%33%25%0%67%50%

Form: Birkirkara: DDLD • Mosta: LWLD

League goals

Metric Birkirkara Mosta
HATHAT
GF total033224
GF avg0.01.00.82.00.71.0
GA total044257
GA avg0.01.31.02.01.71.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBirkirkaraMosta
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%50%75%75%
1.525%50%25%75%
2.50%0%0%25%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBirkirkaraMosta
HATHAT
Clean sheets112011
Failed to score112011

Penalties

MetricBirkirkaraMosta
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricBirkirkaraMosta
Wins01
Draws20
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins0-1
Biggest losses2-13-1
Goals For0221
Goals Against0223

Model comparison

MetricBirkirkaraMosta
Form43%57%
Att43%57%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h100%0%
Goals89%11%
Total59.8%40.3%

Advice: Double chance : Birkirkara or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.15 @ Superbet
Draw3.56 @ Pinnacle
Away3.75 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.09 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.73 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.96 @ Pinnacle
No1.85 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Birkirkara = 1.19 (league 1.14), Mosta = 0.58 (league 1.21)

Mosta
0 1 2 3 4 5
Birkirkara 0 17.1% 9.8% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.3% 11.7% 3.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.1% 7.0% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.8% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.0% · Draw 30.9% · Away win 17.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1