Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 15:00 • Tony Bezzina Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.10 (league 1.14) 0.82 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.5% 31.2% 27.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.1%
0 - 0
14.7%
1 - 1
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
Floriana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Marsaxlokk 0 14.7% 12.1% 5.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.1% 13.2% 5.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 8.8% 7.3% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.2% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMarsaxlokkFloriana
Played44
Form75%58%
Attack44%31%
Defense75%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.85 | 1.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 14 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Marsaxlokk Floriana
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins100%50%75%0%100%50%
Draws0%0%0%50%0%25%
Loses0%50%25%50%0%25%

Form: Marsaxlokk: WWLW • Floriana: WWDL

League goals

Metric Marsaxlokk Floriana
HATHAT
GF total527145
GF avg2.51.01.80.52.01.3
GA total134314
GA avg0.51.51.01.50.51.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMarsaxlokkFloriana
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%75%75%
1.550%25%25%25%
2.525%25%25%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMarsaxlokkFloriana
HATHAT
Clean sheets112011
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricMarsaxlokkFloriana
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMarsaxlokkFloriana
Wins22
Draws01
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-11-3
Biggest losses3-10-2
Goals For3113
Goals Against1321

Model comparison

MetricMarsaxlokkFloriana
Form56%44%
Att58%42%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h29%71%
Goals36%64%
Total47.2%52.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Floriana

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.38 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.28 @ Pinnacle
Away2.15 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ William Hill
No2.07 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.93 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.88 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Marsaxlokk = 1.10 (league 1.14), Floriana = 0.82 (league 1.21)

Floriana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Marsaxlokk 0 14.7% 12.1% 5.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.1% 13.2% 5.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 8.8% 7.3% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.2% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.5% · Draw 31.2% · Away win 27.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1