Wed, Sep 24 2025 • 16:45 • Ta'Qali National Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.32 (league 1.14) 0.33 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.0% 28.6% 9.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
25.4%
0 - 0
19.3%
2 - 0
16.7%
Score & goals probability table
Naxxar Lions
0 1 2 3 4 5
Birkirkara 0 19.3% 6.4% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.4% 8.4% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.7% 5.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.3% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBirkirkaraNaxxar Lions
Played55
Form40%7%
Attack42%33%
Defense67%17%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.810 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

54%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Birkirkara Naxxar Lions
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins50%0%20%0%0%0%
Draws50%67%60%0%50%20%
Loses0%33%20%100%50%80%

Form: Birkirkara: DDLDW • Naxxar Lions: LLDLL

League goals

Metric Birkirkara Naxxar Lions
HATHAT
GF total235314
GF avg1.01.01.01.00.50.8
GA total0447310
GA avg0.01.30.82.31.52.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBirkirkaraNaxxar Lions
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%40%60%100%
1.540%40%20%60%
2.50%0%0%40%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBirkirkaraNaxxar Lions
HATHAT
Clean sheets213000
Failed to score112112

Penalties

MetricBirkirkaraNaxxar Lions
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricBirkirkaraNaxxar Lions
Wins00
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0
Biggest losses2-11-32-0
Goals For2221
Goals Against0232

Model comparison

MetricBirkirkaraNaxxar Lions
Form86%14%
Att56%44%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h40%60%
Goals33%67%
Total57.2%42.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Birkirkara or draw and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.53 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.50 @ Bet365
Away6.93 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.73 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.46 @ 188Bet
No1.69 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Birkirkara = 1.32 (league 1.14), Naxxar Lions = 0.33 (league 1.21)

Naxxar Lions
0 1 2 3 4 5
Birkirkara 0 19.3% 6.4% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.4% 8.4% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.7% 5.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.3% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.0% · Draw 28.6% · Away win 9.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1