Wed, Sep 24 2025 • 19:00 • Tony Bezzina Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.44 (league 1.14) 1.23 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
13.2% 30.4% 56.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
23.2%
0 - 0
18.8%
0 - 2
14.3%
Score & goals probability table
Zabbar St. Patrick
0 1 2 3 4 5
Floriana 0 18.8% 23.2% 14.3% 5.9% 1.8% 0.4%
1 8.2% 10.2% 6.3% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
2 1.8% 2.2% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFlorianaZabbar St. Patrick
Played55
Form67%20%
Attack58%42%
Defense58%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Floriana Zabbar St. Patrick
HATHAT
Played235415
Wins0%100%60%0%0%0%
Draws50%0%20%50%100%60%
Loses50%0%20%50%0%40%

Form: Floriana: WWDLW • Zabbar St. Patrick: LDDLD

League goals

Metric Floriana Zabbar St. Patrick
HATHAT
GF total167415
GF avg0.52.01.41.01.01.0
GA total325617
GA avg1.50.71.01.51.01.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFlorianaZabbar St. Patrick
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%80%80%100%
1.540%20%20%40%
2.520%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFlorianaZabbar St. Patrick
HATHAT
Clean sheets011000
Failed to score101101

Penalties

MetricFlorianaZabbar St. Patrick
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricFlorianaZabbar St. Patrick
Wins20
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-3
Biggest losses0-21-2
Goals For1321
Goals Against2121

Model comparison

MetricFlorianaZabbar St. Patrick
Form77%23%
Att58%42%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution25%75%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total54.5%45.5%

Advice: Double chance : Floriana or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.70 @ William Hill
Draw3.75 @ Pinnacle
Away5.44 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.93 @ Pinnacle
No1.91 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.94 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.90 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Floriana = 0.44 (league 1.14), Zabbar St. Patrick = 1.23 (league 1.21)

Zabbar St. Patrick
0 1 2 3 4 5
Floriana 0 18.8% 23.2% 14.3% 5.9% 1.8% 0.4%
1 8.2% 10.2% 6.3% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
2 1.8% 2.2% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.2% · Draw 30.4% · Away win 56.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1