Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 19:00 • Ta'Qali National Stadium
Match Finished
0 - 1
Expected Goals
1.23 (league 1.14) 3.29 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
10.3% 12.5% 65.5%
best score tips
1 - 3
8.0%
1 - 2
7.2%
1 - 4
6.5%
Score & goals probability table
Floriana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mosta 0 1.1% 3.6% 5.9% 6.5% 5.3% 3.5%
1 1.3% 4.4% 7.2% 8.0% 6.5% 4.3%
2 0.8% 2.7% 4.4% 4.9% 4.0% 2.6%
3 0.3% 1.1% 1.8% 2.0% 1.6% 1.1%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMostaFloriana
Played55
Form27%67%
Attack29%50%
Defense29%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mosta Floriana
HATHAT
Played156336
Wins0%20%17%33%100%67%
Draws100%0%17%33%0%17%
Loses0%80%67%33%0%17%

Form: Mosta: LWLDLL • Floriana: WWDLWW

League goals

Metric Mosta Floriana
HATHAT
GF total2354610
GF avg2.00.60.81.32.01.7
GA total21113426
GA avg2.02.22.21.30.71.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMostaFloriana
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%83%83%83%
1.517%83%50%17%
2.50%33%33%0%
3.50%17%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMostaFloriana
HATHAT
Clean sheets011011
Failed to score022101

Penalties

MetricMostaFloriana
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricMostaFloriana
Wins12
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins0-13-11-3
Biggest losses4-10-2
Goals For2133
Goals Against2421

Model comparison

MetricMostaFloriana
Form29%71%
Att36%64%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution21%79%
H2h7%93%
Goals23%77%
Total24.8%75.2%

Advice: Winner : Floriana

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home8.50 @ Betfair
Draw4.81 @ Pinnacle
Away1.36 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.05 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.15 @ Betfair
No1.73 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mosta = 1.23 (league 1.14), Floriana = 3.29 (league 1.21)

Floriana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mosta 0 1.1% 3.6% 5.9% 6.5% 5.3% 3.5%
1 1.3% 4.4% 7.2% 8.0% 6.5% 4.3%
2 0.8% 2.7% 4.4% 4.9% 4.0% 2.6%
3 0.3% 1.1% 1.8% 2.0% 1.6% 1.1%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.3% · Draw 12.5% · Away win 65.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1