Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 19:00 • Ta'Qali National Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.33 (league 1.17) 0.20 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.6% 27.8% 5.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
28.9%
0 - 0
21.7%
2 - 0
19.2%
Score & goals probability table
Naxxar Lions
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sliema Wanderers 0 21.7% 4.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 28.9% 5.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.2% 3.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.5% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSliema WanderersNaxxar Lions
Played55
Form53%7%
Attack43%21%
Defense71%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sliema Wanderers Naxxar Lions
HATHAT
Played516336
Wins40%100%50%0%0%0%
Draws40%0%33%0%33%17%
Loses20%0%17%100%67%83%

Form: Sliema Wanderers: WLWDDW • Naxxar Lions: LLDLLL

League goals

Metric Sliema Wanderers Naxxar Lions
HATHAT
GF total628314
GF avg1.22.01.31.00.30.7
GA total4157411
GA avg0.81.00.82.31.31.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSliema WanderersNaxxar Lions
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%67%50%100%
1.550%17%17%50%
2.50%0%0%33%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSliema WanderersNaxxar Lions
HATHAT
Clean sheets202000
Failed to score101123

Penalties

MetricSliema WanderersNaxxar Lions
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSliema WanderersNaxxar Lions
Wins10
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-2——
Biggest losses0-1—1-32-0
Goals For2221
Goals Against2132

Model comparison

MetricSliema WanderersNaxxar Lions
Form89%11%
Att67%33%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution83%17%
H2h93%7%
Goals93%7%
Total82.0%18.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Sliema Wanderers or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.12 @ Betano
Draw3.77 @ Pinnacle
Away4.40 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.05 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Betfair
No2.20 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sliema Wanderers = 1.33 (league 1.17), Naxxar Lions = 0.20 (league 1.22)

Naxxar Lions
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sliema Wanderers 0 21.7% 4.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 28.9% 5.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.2% 3.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.5% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.6% · Draw 27.8% · Away win 5.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1