Fri, Oct 3 2025 • 16:45 • Tony Bezzina Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.21 (league 1.24) 1.89 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.2% 22.4% 51.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.3%
1 - 2
9.7%
0 - 1
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
Floriana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hibernians 0 4.5% 8.5% 8.0% 5.1% 2.4% 0.9%
1 5.4% 10.3% 9.7% 6.1% 2.9% 1.1%
2 3.3% 6.2% 5.9% 3.7% 1.8% 0.7%
3 1.3% 2.5% 2.4% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.4% 0.8% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHiberniansFloriana
Played55
Form67%67%
Attack56%44%
Defense63%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

93%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hibernians Floriana
HATHAT
Played347347
Wins100%25%57%33%100%71%
Draws0%50%29%33%0%14%
Loses0%25%14%33%0%14%

Form: Hibernians: WDWDWWL • Floriana: WWDLWWW

League goals

Metric Hibernians Floriana
HATHAT
GF total97164711
GF avg3.01.82.31.31.81.6
GA total4711426
GA avg1.31.81.61.30.50.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHiberniansFloriana
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%86%86%71%
1.586%57%43%14%
2.529%14%29%0%
3.514%0%0%0%
4.514%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHiberniansFloriana
HATHAT
Clean sheets101022
Failed to score011101

Penalties

MetricHiberniansFloriana
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricHiberniansFloriana
Wins22
Draws11
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-31-33-11-3
Biggest losses—2-00-2—
Goals For5333
Goals Against3221

Model comparison

MetricHiberniansFloriana
Form50%50%
Att56%44%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h15%85%
Goals20%80%
Total37.2%62.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Floriana

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.03 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.47 @ Pinnacle
Away1.87 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.85 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.84 @ 188Bet
No2.00 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hibernians = 1.21 (league 1.24), Floriana = 1.89 (league 1.24)

Floriana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hibernians 0 4.5% 8.5% 8.0% 5.1% 2.4% 0.9%
1 5.4% 10.3% 9.7% 6.1% 2.9% 1.1%
2 3.3% 6.2% 5.9% 3.7% 1.8% 0.7%
3 1.3% 2.5% 2.4% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.4% 0.8% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.2% · Draw 22.4% · Away win 51.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1