Thu, Oct 2 2025 • 16:45 • Centenary Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.49 (league 1.14) 0.74 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.7% 26.3% 18.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.0%
2 - 0
11.9%
1 - 1
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
Gzira United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mosta 0 10.7% 8.0% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.0% 11.9% 4.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.9% 8.8% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.9% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.2% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMostaGzira United
Played55
Form7%13%
Attack30%10%
Defense0%30%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.61 | 0.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mosta Gzira United
HATHAT
Played257077
Wins0%20%14%0%0%
Draws50%0%14%43%43%
Loses50%80%71%57%57%

Form: Mosta: LWLDLLL • Gzira United: LDDLDLL

League goals

Metric Mosta Gzira United
HATHAT
GF total235044
GF avg1.00.60.70.00.60.6
GA total3111401212
GA avg1.52.22.00.01.71.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMostaGzira United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%86%29%71%
1.514%71%14%57%
2.50%29%14%14%
3.50%14%0%14%
4.50%0%0%14%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMostaGzira United
HATHAT
Clean sheets011022
Failed to score123055

Penalties

MetricMostaGzira United
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricMostaGzira United
Wins10
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins0-1
Biggest losses0-14-15-3
Goals For2103
Goals Against2405

Model comparison

MetricMostaGzira United
Form33%67%
Att75%25%
Def39%61%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h40%60%
Goals38%62%
Total48.2%51.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Gzira United

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.00 @ William Hill
Draw3.40 @ William Hill
Away2.03 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.75 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Betfair
No1.89 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mosta = 1.49 (league 1.14), Gzira United = 0.74 (league 1.21)

Gzira United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mosta 0 10.7% 8.0% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.0% 11.9% 4.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.9% 8.8% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.9% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.2% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.7% · Draw 26.3% · Away win 18.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1