Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 16:45 • MFA Centenary Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.70 (league 1.14) 2.84 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
6.5% 12.3% 74.4%
best score tips
0 - 2
11.7%
0 - 3
11.1%
0 - 1
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
Valletta FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Naxxar Lions 0 2.9% 8.2% 11.7% 11.1% 7.9% 4.5%
1 2.0% 5.8% 8.2% 7.8% 5.5% 3.1%
2 0.7% 2.0% 2.9% 2.7% 1.9% 1.1%
3 0.2% 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNaxxar LionsValletta FC
Played55
Form27%87%
Attack50%86%
Defense50%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.412 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Naxxar Lions Valletta FC
HATHAT
Played347347
Wins0%25%14%67%50%57%
Draws0%25%14%33%50%43%
Loses100%50%71%0%0%0%

Form: Naxxar Lions: LLDLLLW • Valletta FC: DDWWDWW

League goals

Metric Naxxar Lions Valletta FC
HATHAT
GF total3587613
GF avg1.01.31.12.31.51.9
GA total7411235
GA avg2.31.01.60.70.80.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNaxxar LionsValletta FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%86%86%71%
1.529%43%57%0%
2.514%29%29%0%
3.514%0%14%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNaxxar LionsValletta FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets011112
Failed to score123101

Penalties

MetricNaxxar LionsValletta FC
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricNaxxar LionsValletta FC
Wins02
Draws12
Losses30

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins0-44-10-2
Biggest losses1-32-0
Goals For2442
Goals Against3211

Model comparison

MetricNaxxar LionsValletta FC
Form24%76%
Att37%63%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution17%83%
H2h64%36%
Goals75%25%
Total42.2%57.8%

Advice: Winner : Valletta FC

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home6.65 @ 1xBet
Draw4.20 @ Bet365
Away1.50 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.92 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.90 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.03 @ 188Bet
No1.76 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Naxxar Lions = 0.70 (league 1.14), Valletta FC = 2.84 (league 1.21)

Valletta FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Naxxar Lions 0 2.9% 8.2% 11.7% 11.1% 7.9% 4.5%
1 2.0% 5.8% 8.2% 7.8% 5.5% 3.1%
2 0.7% 2.0% 2.9% 2.7% 1.9% 1.1%
3 0.2% 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 6.5% · Draw 12.3% · Away win 74.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1