Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 14:30 • Ta'Qali National Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.26 (league 1.14) 1.39 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
6.8% 26.8% 66.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
26.6%
0 - 0
19.1%
0 - 2
18.5%
Score & goals probability table
Hamrun Spartans
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sliema Wanderers 0 19.1% 26.6% 18.5% 8.6% 3.0% 0.8%
1 5.0% 7.0% 4.9% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
2 0.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSliema WanderersHamrun Spartans
Played55
Form53%87%
Attack38%44%
Defense56%100%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.40 | 0

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sliema Wanderers Hamrun Spartans
HATHAT
Played617437
Wins33%100%43%50%67%57%
Draws33%0%29%50%33%43%
Loses33%0%29%0%0%0%

Form: Sliema Wanderers: WLWDDWL • Hamrun Spartans: DDWWDWW

League goals

Metric Sliema Wanderers Hamrun Spartans
HATHAT
GF total628549
GF avg1.02.01.11.31.31.3
GA total819112
GA avg1.31.01.30.30.30.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSliema WanderersHamrun Spartans
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%71%86%29%
1.543%29%43%0%
2.50%14%0%0%
3.50%14%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSliema WanderersHamrun Spartans
HATHAT
Clean sheets202325
Failed to score202101

Penalties

MetricSliema WanderersHamrun Spartans
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricSliema WanderersHamrun Spartans
Wins12
Draws22
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-22-00-2
Biggest losses0-4
Goals For2222
Goals Against4111

Model comparison

MetricSliema WanderersHamrun Spartans
Form38%62%
Att46%54%
Def0%100%
Poisson Distribution16%84%
H2h38%62%
Goals33%67%
Total34.2%65.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Hamrun Spartans and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.25 @ William Hill
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away2.39 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.39 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.57 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.03 @ 188Bet
No1.78 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sliema Wanderers = 0.26 (league 1.14), Hamrun Spartans = 1.39 (league 1.21)

Hamrun Spartans
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sliema Wanderers 0 19.1% 26.6% 18.5% 8.6% 3.0% 0.8%
1 5.0% 7.0% 4.9% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
2 0.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 6.8% · Draw 26.8% · Away win 66.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1