Thu, Oct 2 2025 • 19:00 • Centenary Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.05 (league 1.14) 1.32 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.7% 27.6% 42.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.0%
0 - 1
12.3%
1 - 0
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Marsaxlokk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tarxien Rainbows 0 9.4% 12.3% 8.1% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
1 9.8% 13.0% 8.5% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3%
2 5.2% 6.8% 4.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
3 1.8% 2.4% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTarxien RainbowsMarsaxlokk
Played55
Form27%27%
Attack60%40%
Defense10%30%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tarxien Rainbows Marsaxlokk
HATHAT
Played527527
Wins0%50%14%40%50%43%
Draws40%0%29%20%0%14%
Loses60%50%57%40%50%43%

Form: Tarxien Rainbows: DLLWDLL • Marsaxlokk: WWLWLLD

League goals

Metric Tarxien Rainbows Marsaxlokk
HATHAT
GF total437628
GF avg0.81.51.01.21.01.1
GA total8311538
GA avg1.61.51.61.01.51.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTarxien RainbowsMarsaxlokk
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%100%71%57%
1.514%43%29%43%
2.514%14%14%14%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTarxien RainbowsMarsaxlokk
HATHAT
Clean sheets000213
Failed to score112202

Penalties

MetricTarxien RainbowsMarsaxlokk
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricTarxien RainbowsMarsaxlokk
Wins12
Draws10
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-33-10-1
Biggest losses1-31-00-23-1
Goals For1331
Goals Against3223

Model comparison

MetricTarxien RainbowsMarsaxlokk
Form50%50%
Att60%40%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total48.5%51.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Marsaxlokk

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.70 @ Betano
Draw3.65 @ Betano
Away1.80 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.79 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.93 @ Pinnacle
No1.85 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tarxien Rainbows = 1.05 (league 1.14), Marsaxlokk = 1.32 (league 1.21)

Marsaxlokk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tarxien Rainbows 0 9.4% 12.3% 8.1% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
1 9.8% 13.0% 8.5% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3%
2 5.2% 6.8% 4.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
3 1.8% 2.4% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.7% · Draw 27.6% · Away win 42.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1