Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 17:00 • Tony Bezzina Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.89 (league 1.17) 1.06 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.7% 31.1% 39.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.1%
0 - 0
14.2%
1 - 1
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
Birkirkara
0 1 2 3 4 5
Floriana 0 14.2% 15.1% 8.1% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
1 12.6% 13.4% 7.1% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 5.6% 5.9% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.7% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFlorianaBirkirkara
Played55
Form80%73%
Attack70%70%
Defense60%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Floriana Birkirkara
HATHAT
Played358358
Wins33%100%75%67%20%38%
Draws33%0%13%33%60%50%
Loses33%0%13%0%20%13%

Form: Floriana: WWDLWWWW • Birkirkara: DDLDWWDW

League goals

Metric Floriana Birkirkara
HATHAT
GF total4812358
GF avg1.31.61.51.01.01.0
GA total426044
GA avg1.30.40.80.00.80.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFlorianaBirkirkara
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%63%63%25%
1.538%13%38%25%
2.525%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFlorianaBirkirkara
HATHAT
Clean sheets033336
Failed to score101123

Penalties

MetricFlorianaBirkirkara
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricFlorianaBirkirkara
Wins22
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-32-00-2
Biggest losses0-2——2-1
Goals For3322
Goals Against2102

Model comparison

MetricFlorianaBirkirkara
Form52%48%
Att50%50%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total46.2%53.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Birkirkara and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.20 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away4.25 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.59 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.22 @ 188Bet
No1.70 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Floriana = 0.89 (league 1.17), Birkirkara = 1.06 (league 1.22)

Birkirkara
0 1 2 3 4 5
Floriana 0 14.2% 15.1% 8.1% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
1 12.6% 13.4% 7.1% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 5.6% 5.9% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.7% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.7% · Draw 31.1% · Away win 39.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1