Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 18:00 •
Victor Tedesco Stadium
Expected Goals
0.56 (league 1.14)
1.65 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 12.3% | 23.8% | 63.3% |
best score tips
0 - 1
18.1%
0 - 2
14.9%
0 - 0
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Hamrun Spartans | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Naxxar Lions | 0 | 11.0% | 18.1% | 14.9% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| 1 | 6.2% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Naxxar Lions | Hamrun Spartans |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 67% |
| Attack | 75% | 63% |
| Defense | 13% | 75% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
62%
FT probability
2.5+
44%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Naxxar Lions | Hamrun Spartans | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 0% | 25% | 13% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Draws | 0% | 25% | 13% | 50% | 25% | 38% |
| Loses | 100% | 50% | 75% | 0% | 25% | 13% |
Form: Naxxar Lions: LLDLLLWL • Hamrun Spartans: DDWWDWWL
League goals
| Metric | Naxxar Lions | Hamrun Spartans | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 8 | 4 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Naxxar Lions | Hamrun Spartans | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 88% | 75% | 38% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 38% | 38% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 25% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Naxxar Lions | Hamrun Spartans | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Naxxar Lions | Hamrun Spartans |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Naxxar Lions | Hamrun Spartans |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-4 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 2-0 | — | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Naxxar Lions | Hamrun Spartans |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 23% | 77% |
| Att | 55% | 45% |
| Def | 22% | 78% |
| Poisson Distribution | 21% | 79% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 5% | 95% |
| Total | 25.2% | 74.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Hamrun Spartans
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Naxxar Lions = 0.56 (league 1.14), Hamrun Spartans = 1.65 (league 1.21)
| Hamrun Spartans | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Naxxar Lions | 0 | 11.0% | 18.1% | 14.9% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| 1 | 6.2% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.3% · Draw 23.8% · Away win 63.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1