Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 18:00 • Victor Tedesco Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.52 (league 1.24) 1.62 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
11.5% 24.0% 63.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
19.1%
0 - 2
15.5%
0 - 0
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
Hamrun Spartans
0 1 2 3 4 5
Naxxar Lions 0 11.8% 19.1% 15.5% 8.3% 3.4% 1.1%
1 6.1% 9.9% 8.0% 4.3% 1.7% 0.6%
2 1.6% 2.6% 2.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1%
3 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNaxxar LionsHamrun Spartans
Played55
Form20%67%
Attack55%45%
Defense36%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.42 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Naxxar Lions Hamrun Spartans
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins0%25%13%50%50%50%
Draws0%25%13%50%25%38%
Loses100%50%75%0%25%13%

Form: Naxxar Lions: LLDLLLWL • Hamrun Spartans: DDWWDWWL

League goals

Metric Naxxar Lions Hamrun Spartans
HATHAT
GF total358549
GF avg0.81.31.01.31.01.1
GA total8412134
GA avg2.01.01.50.30.80.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNaxxar LionsHamrun Spartans
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%88%75%38%
1.525%38%38%13%
2.513%25%0%0%
3.513%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNaxxar LionsHamrun Spartans
HATHAT
Clean sheets011325
Failed to score224112

Penalties

MetricNaxxar LionsHamrun Spartans
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricNaxxar LionsHamrun Spartans
Wins12
Draws12
Losses30

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-42-00-2
Biggest losses1-32-0—2-0
Goals For2422
Goals Against3212

Model comparison

MetricNaxxar LionsHamrun Spartans
Form23%77%
Att55%45%
Def22%78%
Poisson Distribution20%80%
H2h0%100%
Goals5%95%
Total25.0%75.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Hamrun Spartans

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home7.50 @ William Hill
Draw4.50 @ Unibet
Away1.44 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.96 @ SBO
Under 2.51.97 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.21 @ Pinnacle
No1.65 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Naxxar Lions = 0.52 (league 1.24), Hamrun Spartans = 1.62 (league 1.24)

Hamrun Spartans
0 1 2 3 4 5
Naxxar Lions 0 11.8% 19.1% 15.5% 8.3% 3.4% 1.1%
1 6.1% 9.9% 8.0% 4.3% 1.7% 0.6%
2 1.6% 2.6% 2.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1%
3 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.5% · Draw 24.0% · Away win 63.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1