Wed, Oct 29 2025 • 17:45 • Tony Bezzina Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.02 (league 1.17) 0.82 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.4% 32.2% 28.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.2%
0 - 0
15.8%
1 - 1
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
Hamrun Spartans
0 1 2 3 4 5
Floriana 0 15.8% 13.0% 5.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.2% 13.3% 5.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
2 8.3% 6.8% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.8% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFlorianaHamrun Spartans
Played55
Form100%53%
Attack75%42%
Defense83%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Floriana Hamrun Spartans
HATHAT
Played459459
Wins50%100%78%50%40%44%
Draws25%0%11%50%40%44%
Loses25%0%11%0%20%11%

Form: Floriana: WWDLWWWWW • Hamrun Spartans: DDWWDWWLD

League goals

Metric Floriana Hamrun Spartans
HATHAT
GF total68145510
GF avg1.51.61.61.31.01.1
GA total426145
GA avg1.00.40.70.30.80.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFlorianaHamrun Spartans
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%56%78%44%
1.544%11%33%11%
2.522%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFlorianaHamrun Spartans
HATHAT
Clean sheets134325
Failed to score101112

Penalties

MetricFlorianaHamrun Spartans
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricFlorianaHamrun Spartans
Wins22
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-32-00-2
Biggest losses0-2——2-0
Goals For3322
Goals Against2112

Model comparison

MetricFlorianaHamrun Spartans
Form65%35%
Att64%36%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h36%64%
Goals40%60%
Total53.0%47.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Floriana or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.25 @ Unibet
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away2.38 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.61 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ 188Bet
No1.77 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Floriana = 1.02 (league 1.17), Hamrun Spartans = 0.82 (league 1.22)

Hamrun Spartans
0 1 2 3 4 5
Floriana 0 15.8% 13.0% 5.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.2% 13.3% 5.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
2 8.3% 6.8% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.8% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.4% · Draw 32.2% · Away win 28.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1